TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125814
Played Sep 13Finished
Jaroslav Novotny
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111012114711––
Lubor Sulava
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJaroslav Novotny above · Lubor Sulava below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11
74 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Novotny 4–3 Lubor Sulava Lubor Sulava has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Novotny beat Sulava 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Novotny)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.33 / Sulava 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Novotny)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125814
Novotny1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 25 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it61% 14 of 23
Sulava3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog31% won 57 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back15% 16 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeNovotny4wins
AwaySulava3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderNovotny leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovotny33.3%1 of 3
AwaySulava25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novotny3Sulava4n = 7Sulava took 4 of 7
S2Novotny4Sulava3n = 7Novotny took 4 of 7
S3Novotny4Sulava3n = 7Novotny took 4 of 7
S4Novotny4Sulava1n = 5Novotny took 4 of 5
S5Novotny1Sulava2n = 3Sulava took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricNovotnySulavaN − SBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match42.436.4+6.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnySulavaBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 158 vs 474 / 96252.5%49.3%83 / 158 vs 474 / 962Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyNovotny 1.33/Sulava 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.1%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sulava won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 13 · 15:30J. Novotny529111011113L. Sulava4011412762
WAug 23 · 14:30J. Novotny46111311113L. Sulava381311681
LJun 7 · 12:30J. Novotny50131091172L. Sulava481112113113
LApr 26 · 17:00J. Novotny531110139102L. Sulava559121111123
LApr 26 · 15:00J. Novotny2410860L. Sulava341211113
WAug 19 · 17:30J. Novotny3961111113L. Sulava23117141
WAug 19 · 16:30J. Novotny331111113L. Sulava176650
J. Novotny10
WSep 13 · 16:00J. Novotny1.91111158113M. Ulrych1.8099111122WSep 13 · 15:30L. Sulava2.2011412762J. Novotny1.619111011113WSep 13 · 14:00J. Novotny1.4041111113L. Havel2.75112631LSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WAug 24 · 13:07A. Svoboda1.8361111682J. Novotny1.83116711113LAug 24 · 12:30R. Hasmanda2.00811611113J. Novotny1.7311911392WAug 24 · 11:30J. Novotny1.571111811113M. Stefek2.2531311642
L. Sulava10
WSep 13 · 16:30L. Havel2.753540L. Sulava1.401111113LSep 13 · 15:30L. Sulava2.2011412762J. Novotny1.619111011113WSep 13 · 14:30M. Ulrych1.8069110L. Sulava1.911111133LSep 11 · 09:04L. Sulava1.70911791J. Pleskot2.0211611113LSep 11 · 08:30L. Sulava2.00111011692Z. Zikmunda1.73812611113LSep 11 · 07:00L. Sulava1.6011133822J. Pleskot2.157111111113WSep 11 · 06:00M. Stefek1.80811115112L. Sulava1.91118911133LSep 10 · 09:00L. Sulava1.8011861142M. Stefek1.91511115113WSep 10 · 08:30L. Sulava2.631111113V. Dolezal1.441940LSep 10 · 07:00L. Sulava3.70612111162A. Svoboda1.19111477113
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