TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120483
Played Sep 13Finished
Jaroslav Novotny
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119119511811112
Martin Ulrych
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Ulrych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Novotny above · Martin Ulrych below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 88 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Martin Ulrych at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:16What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ulrych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Novotny 1449 vs Ulrych 1372
Novotny
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novotny 60% vs Ulrych 20%
Novotny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novotny 60% vs Ulrych 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Novotny +1 · Ulrych -3
Ulrych
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ulrych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ulrych form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.91 / Ulrych 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ulrych)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120483
Novotny1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 3 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Ulrych1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 43 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it86% 30 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyUlrychBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 155 vs 98 / 16451.6%59.8%80 / 155 vs 98 / 164Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UlrychNovotny 1.91/Ulrych 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ulrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Novotny won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Novotny10
WSep 13 · 15:30L. Sulava2.2011412762J. Novotny1.619111011113WSep 13 · 14:00J. Novotny1.4041111113L. Havel2.75112631LSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WAug 24 · 13:07A. Svoboda1.8361111682J. Novotny1.83116711113LAug 24 · 12:30R. Hasmanda2.00811611113J. Novotny1.7311911392WAug 24 · 11:30J. Novotny1.571111811113M. Stefek2.2531311642LAug 24 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.101111133J. Novotny1.6786110
M. Ulrych10
LSep 13 · 15:00L. Havel1.831111113M. Ulrych1.834470LSep 13 · 14:30M. Ulrych1.8069110L. Sulava1.911111133LSep 13 · 13:00M. Stefek1.90101111113M. Ulrych1.80123851WSep 13 · 12:00M. Ulrych1.6111127113M. Stefek2.209101181LSep 13 · 11:30D. Barton1.801111133M. Ulrych1.9117110LSep 13 · 10:00M. Ulrych2.007370V. Dolezal1.731111113WSep 12 · 03:28M. Ulrych1.36891111113J. Didi3.0011116892WSep 12 · 02:00M. Stefek1.91741251M. Ulrych1.80111110113WSep 12 · 24:30M. Ulrych1.4011311113J. Didi2.75411841WSep 11 · 23:00M. Ulrych2.381311113R. Urban1.5311590
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.