TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119602
Played Sep 13Finished
Martin Ulrych
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6119111113––––
Lubor Sulava
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:25 and never touched — 70.6% is still 70.6%
Graded at full timeMartin Ulrych to win
70.6%
70.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Ulrych above · Lubor Sulava below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Martin Ulrych at 70.6%
61 points played in total.
H2H Martin Ulrych 0–1 Lubor Sulava Martin Ulrych has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:25What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ulrych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ulrych 1463 vs Sulava 1379
Ulrych
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ulrych 40% vs Sulava 20%
Ulrych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ulrych 60% vs Sulava 20%
Ulrych
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ulrych -1 · Sulava -3
Sulava
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ulrych) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulava form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUlrych 1.80 / Sulava 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ulrych)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119602
Ulrych1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 43 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it86% 30 of 35
Sulava1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 57 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back15% 16 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeUlrych0wins
AwaySulava1wins
Sulava leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricUlrychSulavaU − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match23.035.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUlrychSulavaBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 162 vs 473 / 96260.5%49.2%98 / 162 vs 473 / 962Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UlrychUlrych 1.80/Sulava 1.91
Miss
What we said
54.3%
Ulrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sulava won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 17 · 24:00M. Ulrych2331190L. Sulava351113113
M. Ulrych10
LSep 13 · 15:00L. Havel1.831111113M. Ulrych1.834470LSep 13 · 13:00M. Stefek1.90101111113M. Ulrych1.80123851WSep 13 · 12:00M. Ulrych1.6111127113M. Stefek2.209101181LSep 13 · 11:30D. Barton1.801111133M. Ulrych1.9117110LSep 13 · 10:00M. Ulrych2.007370V. Dolezal1.731111113WSep 12 · 03:28M. Ulrych1.36891111113J. Didi3.0011116892WSep 12 · 02:00M. Stefek1.91741251M. Ulrych1.80111110113WSep 12 · 24:30M. Ulrych1.4011311113J. Didi2.75411841WSep 11 · 23:00M. Ulrych2.381311113R. Urban1.5311590LSep 11 · 22:00V. Dolezal1.801215911113M. Ulrych1.91101711842
L. Sulava10
LSep 13 · 15:30L. Sulava2.2011412762J. Novotny1.619111011113LSep 11 · 09:04L. Sulava1.70911791J. Pleskot2.0211611113LSep 11 · 08:30L. Sulava2.00111011692Z. Zikmunda1.73812611113LSep 11 · 07:00L. Sulava1.6011133822J. Pleskot2.157111111113WSep 11 · 06:00M. Stefek1.80811115112L. Sulava1.91118911133LSep 10 · 09:00L. Sulava1.8011861142M. Stefek1.91511115113WSep 10 · 08:30L. Sulava2.631111113V. Dolezal1.441940LSep 10 · 07:00L. Sulava3.70612111162A. Svoboda1.19111477113LSep 10 · 06:00M. Stefek1.809111112113L. Sulava1.9111691492LSep 9 · 01:30L. Sulava3.403780A. Svoboda1.301111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Ulrych
Nothing scheduled
L. Sulava
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