TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13146909
Played Sep 18Finished
Zdenek Zikmunda
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811811––––
Zbynek Drabek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeZbynek Drabek to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Zikmunda above · Zbynek Drabek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Zbynek Drabek at 54.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zikmunda 2–7 Zbynek Drabek Zdenek Zikmunda has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Drabek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Drabek
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zikmunda 1367 vs Drabek 1351
Zikmunda
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zikmunda 80% vs Drabek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zikmunda 70% vs Drabek 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zikmunda +1 · Drabek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Drabek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drabek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZikmunda 1.83 / Drabek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Drabek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13146909
Zikmunda1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Drabek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeZikmunda2wins
AwayDrabek7wins
5 of 9 to a deciderDrabek leads 7–2, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZikmunda33.3%2 of 6
AwayDrabek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zikmunda6Drabek3n = 9Zikmunda took 6 of 9
S2Zikmunda2Drabek7n = 9Drabek took 7 of 9
S3Zikmunda4Drabek5n = 9Drabek took 5 of 9
S4Zikmunda3Drabek4n = 7Drabek took 4 of 7
S5Zikmunda1Drabek4n = 5Drabek took 4 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away444%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricZikmundaDrabekZ − DBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match38.241.3−3.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikmundaDrabekBasisWin rate · lifetime14 / 34 vs 49 / 9441.2%52.1%14 / 34 vs 49 / 94Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrabekZikmunda 1.83/Drabek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Drabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Drabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 18 · 06:30Z. Zikmunda215880Z. Drabek331111113
LSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda4611971182Z. Drabek50811119113
WSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda331111113Z. Drabek154650
LSep 5 · 09:28Z. Zikmunda4511612792Z. Drabek485111011113
LSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda4991171482Z. Drabek521171112113
WSep 2 · 12:59Z. Zikmunda47115119113Z. Drabek4691181172
LSep 2 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda31119651Z. Drabek3961111113
LSep 2 · 08:59Z. Zikmunda32115881Z. Drabek3961111113
LSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda4094111152Z. Drabek50111198113
Z. Zikmunda10
LSep 18 · 08:00M. Stefek2.101113113Z. Zikmunda1.6721180LSep 18 · 07:00T. Nohejl1.6751112113Z. Zikmunda2.101181051WSep 11 · 13:30Z. Zikmunda1.40471111113M. Chalupnicek2.7511118792LSep 11 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda1.401112781P. Kulhanek2.7541411113WSep 11 · 11:00Z. Zikmunda1.671111113J. Grohsgott2.107980WSep 11 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.201011781Z. Zikmunda1.6112811113WSep 11 · 09:30M. Stefek1.65124130Z. Zikmunda2.101411153WSep 11 · 08:30L. Sulava2.00111011692Z. Zikmunda1.73812611113LSep 11 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.2511712652M. Stefek1.577111011113WSep 11 · 06:30J. Pleskot1.8013137101Z. Zikmunda1.91151111123
Z. Drabek10
WSep 18 · 07:30Z. Drabek2.101111123M. Stefek1.6796100WSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113LSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471WSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870WSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.0091171482Z. Drabek1.731171112113WSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101LSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140
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