TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13146993
Played Sep 18Finished
Tomas Nohejl
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111181210115––
Zdenek Zikmunda
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:41 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Nohejl to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Nohejl above · Zdenek Zikmunda below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Nohejl at 55.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Nohejl 1–0 Zdenek Zikmunda Zdenek Zikmunda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:41What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Nohejl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1406 vs Zikmunda 1367
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 80% vs Zikmunda 60%
Nohejl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 60% vs Zikmunda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +1 · Zikmunda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Nohejl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zikmunda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.67 / Zikmunda 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Nohejl)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13146993
Nohejl1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 34 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Zikmunda2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 6 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNohejl1wins
AwayZikmunda0wins
Nohejl leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNohejlZikmundaN − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.034.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlZikmundaBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 188 vs 14 / 3453.7%41.2%101 / 188 vs 14 / 34Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.67/Zikmunda 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 18 · 07:00T. Nohejl3951112113Z. Zikmunda341181051
T. Nohejl10
WSep 18 · 06:00M. Stefek2.75111211262T. Nohejl1.4013101110113LSep 16 · 17:30T. Nohejl1.7110990T. Regner2.001211113WSep 16 · 16:30J. Pleskot2.2576100T. Nohejl1.571111123WSep 16 · 15:30T. Nohejl1.831112133T. Regner1.83810110WSep 16 · 14:30L. Sulava1.833650T. Nohejl1.831111113LSep 15 · 17:00T. Nohejl2.00511731L. Havel1.7311611113LSep 15 · 16:00T. Nohejl1.61111011892M. Barta2.20112111113WSep 15 · 15:30L. Sulava2.2011811362T. Nohejl1.61711511113LSep 15 · 14:00T. Nohejl1.577770L. Havel2.251111113WJul 6 · 13:30T. Nohejl1.7311118113L. Sulava2.00981181
Z. Zikmunda10
LSep 18 · 08:00M. Stefek2.101113113Z. Zikmunda1.6721180LSep 18 · 06:30Z. Zikmunda1.835880Z. Drabek1.831111113WSep 11 · 13:30Z. Zikmunda1.40471111113M. Chalupnicek2.7511118792LSep 11 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda1.401112781P. Kulhanek2.7541411113WSep 11 · 11:00Z. Zikmunda1.671111113J. Grohsgott2.107980WSep 11 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.201011781Z. Zikmunda1.6112811113WSep 11 · 09:30M. Stefek1.65124130Z. Zikmunda2.101411153WSep 11 · 08:30L. Sulava2.00111011692Z. Zikmunda1.73812611113LSep 11 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.2511712652M. Stefek1.577111011113WSep 11 · 06:30J. Pleskot1.8013137101Z. Zikmunda1.91151111123
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