TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129615
Played Sep 15Finished
Tomas Nohejl
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711711––––
Ladislav Havel 1956
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:02 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeTomas Nohejl to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Nohejl above · Ladislav Havel 1956 below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Tomas Nohejl at 57.6%
54 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Nohejl 10–10 Ladislav Havel 1956 Dead even across their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:02What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Nohejl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-10 in 20
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1388 vs Havel 1325
Nohejl
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 60% vs Havel 20%
Nohejl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 50% vs Havel 20%
Nohejl
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +1 · Havel +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havel form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.57 / Havel 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Nohejl)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129615
Nohejl1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 32 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Havel2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 48 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl4wins
AwayHavel6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHavel leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl100%4 of 4
AwayHavel100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl4Havel6n = 10Havel took 6 of 10
S2Nohejl4Havel6n = 10Havel took 6 of 10
S3Nohejl3Havel7n = 10Havel took 7 of 10
S4Nohejl1Havel2n = 3Havel took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlHavelN − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match29.033.6−4.6per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlHavelBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 178 vs 260 / 55953.4%46.5%95 / 178 vs 260 / 559Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.57/Havel 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Havel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 18 · 06:00T. Nohejl4211119113L. Havel31581171
WJun 16 · 14:00T. Nohejl331111113L. Havel204880
LJun 14 · 09:30T. Nohejl104420L. Havel331111113
LJun 14 · 06:00T. Nohejl186480L. Havel331111113
LJun 13 · 07:00T. Nohejl418149101L. Havel46111211123
LMar 26 · 07:00T. Nohejl269890L. Havel331111113
LMar 19 · 10:30T. Nohejl2591330L. Havel371115113
LMar 19 · 08:00T. Nohejl197480L. Havel331111113
WMar 9 · 08:30T. Nohejl43116114113L. Havel4661191192
WMar 6 · 12:00T. Nohejl331111113L. Havel249780
T. Nohejl10
WJul 6 · 13:30T. Nohejl1.7311118113L. Sulava2.00981181LJul 6 · 12:00T. Nohejl2.1011611992J. Kucharcik1.67711711113WJul 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.8311870T. Nohejl1.831311113WJul 6 · 10:00T. Nohejl1.361511113M. Syroha3.0013440LJul 6 · 09:30M. Trinta1.58126115113T. Nohejl2.15101161172WJul 6 · 08:00L. Sulava1.8011661662T. Nohejl1.917111114113LJul 6 · 07:00M. Trinta1.67111011113T. Nohejl2.10812671WJul 6 · 06:30T. Nohejl1.61111011113M. Regner2.20212951LJun 30 · 09:29T. Nohejl1.40111160J. Strnad2.751313113LJun 30 · 08:00V. Dolezal1.671161011113T. Nohejl2.1071112712
L. Havel10
WSep 14 · 16:59M. Barta1.4081111982L. Havel2.75115711113LSep 14 · 16:30L. Havel2.389960M. Barta1.531111113LSep 14 · 15:00L. Havel2.2012540J. Framberk1.611411113LSep 14 · 14:00J. Pleskot1.83118117113L. Havel1.8351181162LSep 13 · 17:00L. Havel1.639670M. Ulrych2.131111113LSep 13 · 16:30L. Havel2.753540L. Sulava1.401111113WSep 13 · 15:00L. Havel1.831111113M. Ulrych1.834470LSep 13 · 14:00J. Novotny1.4041111113L. Havel2.75112631LSep 12 · 13:02L. Havel2.38711761M. Barta1.5311611113LSep 12 · 12:30M. Barta1.80115143113L. Havel1.91311121152
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