TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145745
Played Sep 18Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111312101111210611
Tomas Nohejl
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Stefek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Tomas Nohejl below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 1-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 97 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Martin Stefek at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 0–4 Tomas Nohejl Martin Stefek has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:43What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Nohejl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Nohejl
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1382 vs Nohejl 1406
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 60% vs Nohejl 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 60% vs Nohejl 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek +1 · Nohejl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 2.75 / Nohejl 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Nohejl)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145745
Stefek2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 178 of 415
Down 0–1, comes back23% 51 of 227
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 136
Nohejl1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 34 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStefek0wins
AwayNohejl4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderNohejl leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayNohejl100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek1Nohejl3n = 4Nohejl took 3 of 4
S2Stefek1Nohejl3n = 4Nohejl took 3 of 4
S3Stefek1Nohejl3n = 4Nohejl took 3 of 4
S4Stefek1Nohejl2n = 3Nohejl took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricStefekNohejlS − NBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.845.0−11.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime587 / 1228 vs 101 / 18847.8%53.7%587 / 1228 vs 101 / 188Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlStefek 2.75/Nohejl 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 18 · 06:00M. Stefek42111211262T. Nohejl5513101110113
LJun 25 · 07:00M. Stefek33931381T. Nohejl44111111113
LJun 11 · 08:00M. Stefek29136731T. Nohejl44111111113
LMar 2 · 09:00M. Stefek311110100T. Nohejl371312123
M. Stefek10
WSep 17 · 21:00L. Sulava1.807118111M. Stefek1.9111211133LSep 17 · 20:30R. Hasmanda2.201211113M. Stefek1.6110450LSep 17 · 19:30M. Stefek1.83771491V. Kosar1.83111112113WSep 17 · 18:30L. Sulava1.9111991182M. Stefek1.80711116113WSep 17 · 03:28M. Stefek2.00481111113T. Regner1.7311118342WSep 17 · 02:00J. Framberk2.255840M. Stefek1.571111113LSep 17 · 24:30M. Stefek2.001178101T. Regner1.7391111123WSep 16 · 23:00M. Stefek2.00111110113M. Novak1.73961251WSep 16 · 22:00R. Hasmanda2.0094100M. Stefek1.731111123LSep 15 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.671311113M. Stefek2.1011970
T. Nohejl10
WSep 18 · 07:00T. Nohejl1.6751112113Z. Zikmunda2.101181051LSep 16 · 17:30T. Nohejl1.7110990T. Regner2.001211113WSep 16 · 16:30J. Pleskot2.2576100T. Nohejl1.571111123WSep 16 · 15:30T. Nohejl1.831112133T. Regner1.83810110WSep 16 · 14:30L. Sulava1.833650T. Nohejl1.831111113LSep 15 · 17:00T. Nohejl2.00511731L. Havel1.7311611113LSep 15 · 16:00T. Nohejl1.61111011892M. Barta2.20112111113WSep 15 · 15:30L. Sulava2.2011811362T. Nohejl1.61711511113LSep 15 · 14:00T. Nohejl1.577770L. Havel2.251111113WJul 6 · 13:30T. Nohejl1.7311118113L. Sulava2.00981181
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