TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Vaclav Nohejl
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214711411––––
Radek Bartunek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 59 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Radek Bartunek at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 1–4 Radek Bartunek Vaclav Nohejl has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bartunek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Bartunek
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1481 vs Bartunek 1425
Nohejl
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 40% vs Bartunek 60%
Bartunek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 30% vs Bartunek 60%
Bartunek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +1 · Bartunek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Bartunek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 2.00 / Bartunek 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Bartunek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165733
Nohejl2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog56% won 24 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back30% 6 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Bartunek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 105 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it86% 78 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeNohejl1wins
AwayBartunek4wins
Bartunek leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBartunek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl1Bartunek4n = 5Bartunek took 4 of 5
S2Nohejl0Bartunek5n = 5Bartunek took 5 of 5
S3Nohejl2Bartunek3n = 5Bartunek took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away360%
These 5 meetings
MetricNohejlBartunekN − BBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match23.035.8−12.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 158 vs 340 / 65657.6%51.8%91 / 158 vs 340 / 656Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekNohejl 2.00/Bartunek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bartunek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 4 · 15:30V. Nohejl3711411113R. Bartunek35711891
LApr 7 · 20:58V. Nohejl97200R. Bartunek331111113
LApr 7 · 18:30V. Nohejl155820R. Bartunek331111113
LSep 6 · 19:00V. Nohejl33871441R. Bartunek45111112113
LJun 24 · 19:00V. Nohejl218760R. Bartunek331111113
V. Nohejl10
WSep 21 · 19:30M. Stefek2.5010980V. Nohejl1.501211113LSep 21 · 18:00V. Nohejl1.44111211792J. Moravek2.63814811113LAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:30F. Briza1.67119139143V. Nohejl2.105111111122WAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 22 · 18:30T. Kolenic1.73111111133V. Nohejl2.001339111LAug 16 · 09:28J. Didi2.201111113V. Nohejl1.619390WAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113LAug 16 · 07:30V. Nohejl1.53111151182J. Didi2.38813118113LAug 16 · 06:30M. Tacinec2.63118128113V. Nohejl1.44911101192
R. Bartunek10
WSep 21 · 19:00J. Moravek2.257911101R. Bartunek1.5711116123WSep 21 · 18:30R. Bartunek1.5061111113M. Stefek2.50117881LSep 17 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.9112117892V. Dolezal1.801091111113WSep 17 · 02:30J. Steffan1.9159150R. Bartunek1.801111173LSep 17 · 01:00P. Picek1.4091111123R. Bartunek2.751179101WSep 16 · 23:30R. Bartunek2.001211113V. Dolezal1.7310680LSep 16 · 22:00R. Bartunek2.2048170M. Smrcek1.611111193WSep 15 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.671311113M. Stefek2.1011970WSep 15 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.8311811113M. Stefek1.83311741LSep 15 · 01:30V. Dolezal1.57411311113R. Bartunek2.2511311692
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