TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13144257
Played Sep 17Finished
Radek Bartunek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210119711811911
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRadek Bartunek above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 99 set 5, 9-11
99 points played in total.
H2H Radek Bartunek 13–21 Vaclav Dolezal Radek Bartunek has won 13 of their 34 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Bartunek beat Dolezal 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartunek 1.91 / Dolezal 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dolezal)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13144257
Bartunek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 43 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Dolezal1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite66% won 138 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it96% 66 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it82% 103 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartunek4wins
AwayDolezal6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartunek40%2 of 5
AwayDolezal60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartunek5Dolezal5n = 10split evenly
S2Bartunek5Dolezal5n = 10split evenly
S3Bartunek7Dolezal3n = 10Bartunek took 7 of 10
S4Bartunek2Dolezal6n = 8Dolezal took 6 of 8
S5Bartunek1Dolezal3n = 4Dolezal took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartunekDolezalB − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.739.8−1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartunekDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 663 vs 387 / 77951.6%49.7%342 / 663 vs 387 / 779Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalBartunek 1.91/Dolezal 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 23:30R. Bartunek341211113V. Dolezal2410680
LSep 15 · 01:30R. Bartunek4011311692V. Dolezal40411311113
LSep 8 · 24:00R. Bartunek30611671V. Dolezal3811511113
WSep 2 · 20:58R. Bartunek3851111113V. Dolezal34119591
LSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek4315311862V. Dolezal541311811113
WAug 21 · 03:07R. Bartunek6211141412113V. Dolezal54316121492
LAug 21 · 02:30R. Bartunek331112731V. Dolezal4371411113
LJun 6 · 24:00R. Bartunek2468100V. Dolezal341111123
WMay 18 · 21:00R. Bartunek3741111113V. Dolezal28114761
LMay 18 · 19:30R. Bartunek4691111962V. Dolezal49119711113
R. Bartunek10
WSep 17 · 02:30J. Steffan1.9159150R. Bartunek1.801111173LSep 17 · 01:00P. Picek1.4091111123R. Bartunek2.751179101WSep 16 · 23:30R. Bartunek2.001211113V. Dolezal1.7310680LSep 16 · 22:00R. Bartunek2.2048170M. Smrcek1.611111193WSep 15 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.671311113M. Stefek2.1011970WSep 15 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.8311811113M. Stefek1.83311741LSep 15 · 01:30V. Dolezal1.57411311113R. Bartunek2.2511311692LSep 15 · 24:00R. Bartunek1.365101171V. Kosar3.0011127113WSep 14 · 23:00T. Regner2.50111110772R. Bartunek1.50561211113LSep 11 · 03:00O. Vitrovyj2.381111133R. Bartunek1.5356110
V. Dolezal10
WSep 17 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.1011511113J. Steffan1.67811661LSep 17 · 24:30M. Smrcek1.4411117113V. Dolezal2.63941151LSep 16 · 23:30R. Bartunek2.001211113V. Dolezal1.7310680LSep 16 · 22:30V. Dolezal2.381015111272P. Picek1.531213714113WSep 16 · 02:58V. Dolezal3.001111113P. Picek1.367660LSep 16 · 02:00V. Dolezal2.2041181192J. Steffan1.61119118113LSep 16 · 01:00V. Dolezal2.63561171A. Svoboda1.4411119113WSep 16 · 24:00P. Picek1.28139361V. Dolezal3.50111111113WSep 15 · 22:30P. Klusacek1.5712516972V. Dolezal2.2510111411113WSep 15 · 01:30V. Dolezal1.57411311113R. Bartunek2.2511311692
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