TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135728
Played Sep 17Finished
Petr Picek
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111171191210––
Radek Bartunek
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:36 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timePetr Picek to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Picek above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 80 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Petr Picek at 74.4%
80 points played in total.
H2H Petr Picek 28–9 Radek Bartunek Radek Bartunek has won 9 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Picek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-9 in 37
Picek
Correct
gap of 19 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Picek 1459 vs Bartunek 1410
Picek
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Picek 60% vs Bartunek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Picek 50% vs Bartunek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Picek +2 · Bartunek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Picek) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPicek 1.40 / Bartunek 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Picek)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135728
Picek1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 71 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it79% 55 of 70
Bartunek2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 43 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePicek8wins
AwayBartunek2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPicek leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePicek100%6 of 6
AwayBartunek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Picek6Bartunek4n = 10Picek took 6 of 10
S2Picek6Bartunek4n = 10Picek took 6 of 10
S3Picek10Bartunek0n = 10Picek took 10 of 10
S4Picek3Bartunek2n = 5Picek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPicekBartunekP − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.628.0+8.6per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPicekBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 561 vs 341 / 66149.9%51.6%280 / 561 vs 341 / 661Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PicekPicek 1.40/Bartunek 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.8%
Picek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Picek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 23:00P. Picek331111113R. Bartunek173860
WAug 12 · 22:30P. Picek45121111113R. Bartunek291013331
WAug 2 · 02:58P. Picek331111113R. Bartunek207490
WAug 1 · 23:00P. Picek50881112113R. Bartunek44111171052
WJul 27 · 23:30P. Picek351111133R. Bartunek1632110
WJul 24 · 23:30P. Picek361111143R. Bartunek1613120
WJul 19 · 01:00P. Picek331111113R. Bartunek205870
WJul 9 · 24:30P. Picek4181111113R. Bartunek34117791
LApr 3 · 23:00P. Picek355911101R. Bartunek4211118123
LMar 14 · 03:30P. Picek25541151R. Bartunek4211119113
P. Picek10
WSep 17 · 24:00J. Steffan1.9144111182P. Picek1.80111139113WSep 16 · 22:30V. Dolezal2.381015111272P. Picek1.531213714113LSep 16 · 02:58V. Dolezal3.001111113P. Picek1.367660WSep 16 · 02:30P. Picek1.5781111113A. Svoboda2.25117721LSep 16 · 01:30P. Klusacek1.6111119113P. Picek2.20671191LSep 16 · 24:00P. Picek1.28139361V. Dolezal3.50111111113WSep 15 · 23:00J. Steffan2.00781171P. Picek1.7311119113LSep 15 · 02:00P. Picek3.751611581O. Kucirek1.2518811113LSep 15 · 01:00P. Picek1.73611871J. Steffan2.0011911113WSep 15 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj2.389670P. Picek1.531111113
R. Bartunek10
WSep 16 · 23:30R. Bartunek2.001211113V. Dolezal1.7310680LSep 16 · 22:00R. Bartunek2.2048170M. Smrcek1.611111193WSep 15 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.671311113M. Stefek2.1011970WSep 15 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.8311811113M. Stefek1.83311741LSep 15 · 01:30V. Dolezal1.57411311113R. Bartunek2.2511311692LSep 15 · 24:00R. Bartunek1.365101171V. Kosar3.0011127113WSep 14 · 23:00T. Regner2.50111110772R. Bartunek1.50561211113LSep 11 · 03:00O. Vitrovyj2.381111133R. Bartunek1.5356110LSep 11 · 02:30R. Bartunek2.6371240K. Darin1.441114113LSep 11 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj2.75111222113R. Bartunek1.406102491
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