Vaclav Dolezal vs Petr Picek 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13138495

Played Sep 16Finished

Vaclav Dolezal

Home

3.00

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

117116116––––

Petr Picek

Away

1.36

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Petr Picek below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 11-6

Point 52 set 3, 11-6

52 points played in total.

H2H Vaclav Dolezal 6–16 Petr Picek Vaclav Dolezal has won 6 of their 22 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Dolezal beat Picek 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Picek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Picek form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDolezal 3.00 / Picek 1.36

Signal prob.32% / 68%

Edge (Picek)-0.6pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13138495

Dolezal3.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog29% won 33 of 114

Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 70

Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44

Picek1.36

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite58% won 69 of 120

Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38

Up 1–0, closes it79% 54 of 68

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDolezal3wins

AwayPicek7wins

1 of 10 to a deciderPicek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDolezaln = 0, below the 3 needed

AwayPicek70%7 of 10

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dolezal0Picek10n = 10Picek took 10 of 10

S2Dolezal4Picek6n = 10Picek took 6 of 10

S3Dolezal4Picek6n = 10Picek took 6 of 10

S4Dolezal3Picek3n = 6split evenly

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away440%

These 10 meetings

MetricDolezalPicekD − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match32.936.6−3.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDolezalPicekBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 782 vs 278 / 56049.4%49.6%386 / 782 vs 278 / 560Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Picek

Dolezal 3.00/Picek 1.36

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

68.2%

Picek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Dolezal won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 16 · 24:00V. Dolezal44111111113P. Picek31139361

LAug 20 · 22:00V. Dolezal31512861P. Picek43111011113

LDec 11 · 23:30V. Dolezal239950P. Picek331111113

LDec 11 · 01:30V. Dolezal25510100P. Picek351112123

LDec 7 · 23:30V. Dolezal30811561P. Picek3911611113

WOct 14 · 03:30V. Dolezal50971111123P. Picek41111145102

LOct 14 · 24:30V. Dolezal29381171P. Picek4011117113

WOct 2 · 24:30V. Dolezal3941111133P. Picek321164111

LSep 16 · 03:00V. Dolezal269980P. Picek331111113

LSep 16 · 01:30V. Dolezal3289150P. Picek391111173

V. Dolezal10

LSep 16 · 02:00V. Dolezal2.2041181192J. Steffan1.61119118113 LSep 16 · 01:00V. Dolezal2.63561171A. Svoboda1.4411119113 WSep 16 · 24:00P. Picek1.28139361V. Dolezal3.50111111113 WSep 15 · 22:30P. Klusacek1.5712516972V. Dolezal2.2510111411113 LSep 15 · 03:30V. Dolezal1.558360V. Kosar2.351111113 WSep 15 · 01:30V. Dolezal1.57411311113R. Bartunek2.2511311692 LSep 15 · 24:30T. Regner2.63411711163V. Dolezal1.44119118142 WSep 14 · 23:30M. Stefek2.6366111172V. Dolezal1.44111177113 WSep 14 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.3311913113V. Kosar3.257111181 WSep 13 · 13:29V. Dolezal2.6371111113D. Barton1.44116521

P. Picek10

WSep 16 · 02:30P. Picek1.5781111113A. Svoboda2.25117721 LSep 16 · 01:30P. Klusacek1.6111119113P. Picek2.20671191 LSep 16 · 24:00P. Picek1.28139361V. Dolezal3.50111111113 WSep 15 · 23:00J. Steffan2.00781171P. Picek1.7311119113 LSep 15 · 02:00P. Picek3.751611581O. Kucirek1.2518811113 LSep 15 · 01:00P. Picek1.73611871J. Steffan2.0011911113 WSep 15 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj2.389670P. Picek1.531111113 LSep 14 · 22:30P. Klusacek1.6781111113P. Picek2.10119871 LSep 8 · 02:00J. Steffan1.91911115113P. Picek1.8011951192 LSep 8 · 24:30P. Picek2.0010570K. Darin1.731211113

Upcoming Matches

V. Dolezal

Sep 16 · 22:30V. Dolezal3.00P. Picek1.36—Sep 16 · 23:30V. Dolezal1.73R. Bartunek2.00—Sep 17 · 24:30V. Dolezal2.63M. Smrcek1.44—Sep 17 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.20J. Steffan1.61—

P. Picek

Sep 16 · 22:30P. Picek1.36V. Dolezal3.00—Sep 17 · 24:00P. Picek1.80J. Steffan1.91—Sep 17 · 01:00P. Picek1.33R. Bartunek3.25—Sep 17 · 02:00P. Picek1.80M. Smrcek1.91—

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Decision Summary

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Match Winner

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Decision Summary

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Match Winner

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Today's matches are already sealed.