TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128711
Played Sep 15Finished
Petr Picek
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1618118511811––
Ondrej Kucirek
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 77.4% is still 77.4%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kucirek to win
77.4%
77.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Picek above · Ondrej Kucirek below
Set 1 · 16-18
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 88 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Ondrej Kucirek at 77.4%
88 points played in total.
H2H Petr Picek 14–35 Ondrej Kucirek Petr Picek has won 14 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kucirek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-35 in 49
Kucirek
Correct
gap of 21 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Picek 1454 vs Kucirek 1482
Kucirek
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Picek 20% vs Kucirek 60%
Kucirek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Picek 20% vs Kucirek 70%
Kucirek
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Picek -1 · Kucirek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kucirek) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucirek form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPicek 3.75 / Kucirek 1.25
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Kucirek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128711
Picek3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 24 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Kucirek1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 53 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePicek1wins
AwayKucirek9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKucirek leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePicek33.3%1 of 3
AwayKucirek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Picek3Kucirek7n = 10Kucirek took 7 of 10
S2Picek2Kucirek8n = 10Kucirek took 8 of 10
S3Picek2Kucirek8n = 10Kucirek took 8 of 10
S4Picek1Kucirek3n = 4Kucirek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricPicekKucirekP − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match26.435.6−9.2per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPicekKucirekBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 555 vs 214 / 43149.7%49.7%276 / 555 vs 214 / 431Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucirekPicek 3.75/Kucirek 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Kucirek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kucirek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 02:00P. Picek28511841O. Kucirek3811511113
LJul 24 · 03:28P. Picek249960O. Kucirek331111113
LJul 23 · 22:30P. Picek146620O. Kucirek331111113
LJul 13 · 22:30P. Picek209740O. Kucirek331111113
LJul 9 · 02:59P. Picek207940O. Kucirek331111113
LJul 8 · 22:30P. Picek331181041O. Kucirek4171112113
WMar 26 · 24:30P. Picek331111113O. Kucirek235990
LMar 21 · 03:30P. Picek25661121O. Kucirek4111118113
LMar 19 · 02:30P. Picek168260O. Kucirek331111113
LMar 13 · 24:00P. Picek511112101172O. Kucirek48514126113
P. Picek10
LSep 15 · 01:00P. Picek1.73611871J. Steffan2.0011911113WSep 15 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj2.389670P. Picek1.531111113LSep 14 · 22:30P. Klusacek1.6781111113P. Picek2.10119871LSep 8 · 02:00J. Steffan1.91911115113P. Picek1.8011951192LSep 8 · 24:30P. Picek2.0010570K. Darin1.731211113LSep 7 · 23:00P. Picek2.63711291M. Placek1.4411911113LSep 7 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj2.7511811113P. Picek1.40911831LSep 1 · 03:30J. Jnr1.70791111123P. Picek2.02111165102LSep 1 · 02:00P. Picek2.10211571K. Darin1.6711711113WSep 1 · 01:00P. Picek1.8011113113J. Jnr1.91371161
O. Kucirek10
WSep 15 · 24:30O. Kucirek2.001141110113P. Klusacek1.7361151282LSep 14 · 22:00J. Steffan1.731111113O. Kucirek2.008880WSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240WSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:00A. Svoboda1.83410100O. Kucirek1.831112123WSep 4 · 23:30O. Kucirek1.831111113M. Stefek1.837750WSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352LSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 20:30V. Dolezal1.7311125752O. Kucirek2.006101111113WSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.