TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128678
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118118––––
Ondrej Kucirek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:01 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kucirek to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Ondrej Kucirek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Ondrej Kucirek at 59.9%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 32–27 Ondrej Kucirek Ondrej Kucirek has won 27 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:01What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Steffan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-27 in 59
Steffan
Correct
gap of 5 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1430 vs Kucirek 1496
Kucirek
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 60% vs Kucirek 100%
Kucirek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 50% vs Kucirek 80%
Kucirek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan +1 · Kucirek +5
Kucirek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Steffan) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucirek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 1.73 / Kucirek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Steffan)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128678
Steffan1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 120 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it90% 62 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it79% 95 of 121
Kucirek2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 45 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back24% 15 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSteffan6wins
AwayKucirek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan71.4%5 of 7
AwayKucirek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan7Kucirek3n = 10Steffan took 7 of 10
S2Steffan5Kucirek5n = 10split evenly
S3Steffan5Kucirek5n = 10split evenly
S4Steffan4Kucirek5n = 9Kucirek took 5 of 9
S5Steffan2Kucirek1n = 3Steffan took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSteffanKucirekS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.3+2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanKucirekBasisWin rate · lifetime466 / 975 vs 221 / 44247.8%50%466 / 975 vs 221 / 442Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanSteffan 1.73/Kucirek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 23:30J. Steffan3911611113O. Kucirek36811981
LAug 26 · 23:00J. Steffan316101141O. Kucirek4211128113
WAug 23 · 24:00J. Steffan331111113O. Kucirek184860
WAug 12 · 23:30J. Steffan49881111113O. Kucirek3911116472
WAug 11 · 03:30J. Steffan531111911113O. Kucirek4146111372
WAug 10 · 22:30J. Steffan3811115113O. Kucirek29881121
WAug 7 · 01:30J. Steffan4311138113O. Kucirek389111171
LAug 6 · 03:00J. Steffan4211511872O. Kucirek48611911113
LAug 6 · 24:00J. Steffan381178121O. Kucirek4481111143
LJul 24 · 24:30J. Steffan32411891O. Kucirek3811511113
J. Steffan10
WSep 14 · 13:28A. Svoboda1.80119981J. Steffan1.9161111113LSep 14 · 12:00J. Steffan1.801211209142A. Svoboda1.911461811163WSep 14 · 11:30K. Darin1.61281281J. Steffan2.20111110113WSep 14 · 10:00J. Steffan1.7391111113V. Pecka2.00113741LSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113LSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113LSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852LSep 11 · 09:30T. Andrle1.90871111113J. Steffan1.8011118962WSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan1.83611612123T. Andrle1.831181110102
O. Kucirek10
WSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240WSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:00A. Svoboda1.83410100O. Kucirek1.831112123WSep 4 · 23:30O. Kucirek1.831111113M. Stefek1.837750WSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352LSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 20:30V. Dolezal1.7311125752O. Kucirek2.006101111113WSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113
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