TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128675
Played Sep 15Finished
Petr Picek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119811711––
Jan Steffan
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Picek above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jan Steffan at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Petr Picek 43–35 Jan Steffan Jan Steffan has won 35 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:02What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Picek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-35 in 78
Picek
Wrong
gap of 8 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Picek 1467 vs Steffan 1433
Picek
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Picek 20% vs Steffan 60%
Steffan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Picek 30% vs Steffan 50%
Steffan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Picek +1 · Steffan -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Picek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Picek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPicek 1.73 / Steffan 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Picek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128675
Picek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 70 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 54 of 68
Steffan2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 86 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePicek7wins
AwaySteffan3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPicek leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePicek71.4%5 of 7
AwaySteffan33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Picek7Steffan3n = 10Picek took 7 of 10
S2Picek5Steffan5n = 10split evenly
S3Picek5Steffan5n = 10split evenly
S4Picek5Steffan4n = 9Picek took 5 of 9
S5Picek4Steffan2n = 6Picek took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPicekSteffanP − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.941.3+3.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPicekSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 554 vs 467 / 97749.8%47.8%276 / 554 vs 467 / 977Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PicekPicek 1.73/Steffan 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Picek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 02:00P. Picek4511951192J. Steffan47911115113
WAug 31 · 22:30P. Picek47118116113J. Steffan4661191192
WAug 22 · 23:00P. Picek44111111113J. Steffan31138461
WAug 2 · 23:30P. Picek47111168113J. Steffan4378111162
LAug 1 · 22:00P. Picek4411118682J. Steffan44381111113
LJul 26 · 23:30P. Picek4211714101J. Steffan48131112123
WJul 24 · 02:00P. Picek5411101111113J. Steffan4613123992
WJul 17 · 02:58P. Picek4111118113J. Steffan35791181
WJul 17 · 02:30P. Picek351311113J. Steffan2311570
WMay 25 · 24:30P. Picek50127911113J. Steffan50101111992
P. Picek10
LSep 15 · 02:00P. Picek3.751611581O. Kucirek1.2518811113WSep 15 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj2.389670P. Picek1.531111113LSep 14 · 22:30P. Klusacek1.6781111113P. Picek2.10119871LSep 8 · 02:00J. Steffan1.91911115113P. Picek1.8011951192LSep 8 · 24:30P. Picek2.0010570K. Darin1.731211113LSep 7 · 23:00P. Picek2.63711291M. Placek1.4411911113LSep 7 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj2.7511811113P. Picek1.40911831LSep 1 · 03:30J. Jnr1.70791111123P. Picek2.02111165102LSep 1 · 02:00P. Picek2.10211571K. Darin1.6711711113WSep 1 · 01:00P. Picek1.8011113113J. Jnr1.91371161
J. Steffan10
WSep 15 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.57131161192J. Steffan2.25158116113LSep 14 · 23:30J. Steffan2.10711931P. Klusacek1.6711611113WSep 14 · 22:00J. Steffan1.731111113O. Kucirek2.008880WSep 14 · 13:28A. Svoboda1.80119981J. Steffan1.9161111113LSep 14 · 12:00J. Steffan1.801211209142A. Svoboda1.911461811163WSep 14 · 11:30K. Darin1.61281281J. Steffan2.20111110113WSep 14 · 10:00J. Steffan1.7391111113V. Pecka2.00113741LSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113WSep 8 · 02:00J. Steffan1.91911115113P. Picek1.8011951192
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.