TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128676
Played Sep 15Finished
Oleg Vitrovyj
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1315118611116911
Jan Steffan
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:02 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeOleg Vitrovyj to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleg Vitrovyj above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 101 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleg Vitrovyj at 67.3%
101 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Vitrovyj 15–7 Jan Steffan Jan Steffan has won 7 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:02What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vitrovyj
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-7 in 22
Vitrovyj
Wrong
gap of 8 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vitrovyj 1484 vs Steffan 1446
Vitrovyj
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitrovyj 60% vs Steffan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitrovyj 60% vs Steffan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitrovyj -2 · Steffan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vitrovyj) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Steffan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitrovyj 1.57 / Steffan 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Vitrovyj)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128676
Vitrovyj1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 109 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it90% 66 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it73% 82 of 112
Steffan2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 86 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVitrovyj6wins
AwaySteffan4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVitrovyj leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVitrovyj66.7%2 of 3
AwaySteffan42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vitrovyj3Steffan7n = 10Steffan took 7 of 10
S2Vitrovyj5Steffan5n = 10split evenly
S3Vitrovyj6Steffan4n = 10Vitrovyj took 6 of 10
S4Vitrovyj6Steffan1n = 7Vitrovyj took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVitrovyjSteffanV − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.133.3+3.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitrovyjSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 643 vs 468 / 97852.9%47.9%340 / 643 vs 468 / 978Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitrovyjVitrovyj 1.57/Steffan 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Vitrovyj · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 01:00O. Vitrovyj229760J. Steffan331111113
LAug 29 · 03:00O. Vitrovyj28391151J. Steffan3911116113
LAug 29 · 01:00O. Vitrovyj2712780J. Steffan361411113
WAug 5 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj331111113J. Steffan199460
WJul 29 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj4071111113J. Steffan25117251
WJul 23 · 23:00O. Vitrovyj51861311133J. Steffan481111114112
LJul 16 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj4612691182J. Steffan481011115113
WJul 15 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj3961111113J. Steffan22113621
WJul 14 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj4591411113J. Steffan341112921
WJul 13 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj4011116123J. Steffan295311101
O. Vitrovyj10
LSep 15 · 01:30P. Klusacek1.7381111133O. Vitrovyj2.001168111LSep 15 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj2.389670P. Picek1.531111113WSep 11 · 03:00O. Vitrovyj2.381111133R. Bartunek1.5356110WSep 11 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj2.75111222113R. Bartunek1.406102491WSep 11 · 24:30T. Regner1.80121181232O. Vitrovyj1.911481110113WSep 10 · 23:30K. Darin1.5371112752O. Vitrovyj2.381171011113LSep 10 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.911120F. Briza1.801111113WSep 8 · 02:58M. Placek1.4411811111O. Vitrovyj2.6341113133LSep 8 · 02:30M. Placek1.801111133O. Vitrovyj1.9179110LSep 8 · 01:00J. Steffan2.001111113O. Vitrovyj1.739760
J. Steffan10
WSep 15 · 01:00P. Picek1.73611871J. Steffan2.0011911113LSep 14 · 23:30J. Steffan2.10711931P. Klusacek1.6711611113WSep 14 · 22:00J. Steffan1.731111113O. Kucirek2.008880WSep 14 · 13:28A. Svoboda1.80119981J. Steffan1.9161111113LSep 14 · 12:00J. Steffan1.801211209142A. Svoboda1.911461811163WSep 14 · 11:30K. Darin1.61281281J. Steffan2.20111110113WSep 14 · 10:00J. Steffan1.7391111113V. Pecka2.00113741LSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113WSep 8 · 01:00J. Steffan2.001111113O. Vitrovyj1.739760
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