TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128665
Played Sep 16Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411119811118911
Jan Steffan
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 93 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 11–23 Jan Steffan Vaclav Dolezal has won 11 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Steffan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-23 in 34
Steffan
Correct
gap of 12 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1419 vs Steffan 1470
Steffan
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 60% vs Steffan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 60% vs Steffan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal -1 · Steffan -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Steffan) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 2.20 / Steffan 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Steffan)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128665
Dolezal2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 33 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Steffan1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 118 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it90% 60 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it78% 91 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal4wins
AwaySteffan6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal33.3%1 of 3
AwaySteffan57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal3Steffan7n = 10Steffan took 7 of 10
S2Dolezal7Steffan3n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S3Dolezal5Steffan5n = 10split evenly
S4Dolezal2Steffan6n = 8Steffan took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalSteffanD − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.438.8−2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 782 vs 467 / 97749.4%47.8%386 / 782 vs 467 / 977Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanDolezal 2.20/Steffan 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 29 · 24:30V. Dolezal371214113J. Steffan28101260
WJun 18 · 09:30V. Dolezal56911169113J. Steffan52117141192
LJun 18 · 06:30V. Dolezal31911561J. Steffan4211911113
LJun 14 · 23:00V. Dolezal167450J. Steffan331111113
LMay 9 · 01:00V. Dolezal33118591J. Steffan4071111113
WApr 1 · 11:30V. Dolezal43101111113J. Steffan33127681
WMar 31 · 24:30V. Dolezal4071111113J. Steffan33115891
LMar 13 · 02:00V. Dolezal25311291J. Steffan4111811113
LJan 11 · 08:30V. Dolezal48111196112J. Steffan44721111133
LDec 5 · 10:30V. Dolezal3510411101J. Steffan4212117123
V. Dolezal10
WSep 16 · 02:58V. Dolezal3.001111113P. Picek1.367660LSep 16 · 01:00V. Dolezal2.63561171A. Svoboda1.4411119113WSep 16 · 24:00P. Picek1.28139361V. Dolezal3.50111111113WSep 15 · 22:30P. Klusacek1.5712516972V. Dolezal2.2510111411113LSep 15 · 03:30V. Dolezal1.558360V. Kosar2.351111113WSep 15 · 01:30V. Dolezal1.57411311113R. Bartunek2.2511311692LSep 15 · 24:30T. Regner2.63411711163V. Dolezal1.44119118142WSep 14 · 23:30M. Stefek2.6366111172V. Dolezal1.44111177113WSep 14 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.3311913113V. Kosar3.257111181WSep 13 · 13:29V. Dolezal2.6371111113D. Barton1.44116521
J. Steffan10
LSep 16 · 03:28P. Klusacek1.531311113J. Steffan2.3811560LSep 16 · 24:30J. Steffan2.3811119772P. Klusacek1.53361111113LSep 15 · 23:00J. Steffan2.00781171P. Picek1.7311119113WSep 15 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.808811101J. Steffan1.9111116123WSep 15 · 03:30P. Klusacek1.99134451J. Steffan1.71111111113WSep 15 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.57131161192J. Steffan2.25158116113WSep 15 · 01:00P. Picek1.73611871J. Steffan2.0011911113LSep 14 · 23:30J. Steffan2.10711931P. Klusacek1.6711611113WSep 14 · 22:00J. Steffan1.731111113O. Kucirek2.008880WSep 14 · 13:28A. Svoboda1.80119981J. Steffan1.9161111113
Upcoming Matches
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