TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13132922
Played Sep 15Finished
Patrik Klusacek
Home
1.99
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311411411511––
Jan Steffan
Away
1.71
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatrik Klusacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatrik Klusacek above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Patrik Klusacek at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Klusacek 1–0 Jan Steffan Jan Steffan has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Klusacek beat Steffan 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:04What took a side0 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Steffan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Klusacek 80% vs Steffan 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klusacek 70% vs Steffan 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klusacek +1 · Steffan +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Steffan) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Steffan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlusacek 1.99 / Steffan 1.71
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Steffan)+0.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13132922
Klusacek1.99
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Steffan1.71
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 120 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it90% 62 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it79% 95 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKlusacek1wins
AwaySteffan0wins
Klusacek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKlusacekSteffanK − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.030.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlusacekSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 469 / 97970%47.9%7 / 10 vs 469 / 979Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanKlusacek 1.99/Steffan 1.71
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 14 · 23:30P. Klusacek3911611113J. Steffan30711931
P. Klusacek10
WSep 15 · 01:30P. Klusacek1.7381111133O. Vitrovyj2.001168111LSep 15 · 24:30O. Kucirek2.001141110113P. Klusacek1.7361151282WSep 14 · 23:30J. Steffan2.10711931P. Klusacek1.6711611113WSep 14 · 22:30P. Klusacek1.6781111113P. Picek2.10119871WAug 19 · 21:40M. Chmelicek1.57121391182P. Klusacek2.251015118113LAug 19 · 20:05M. Chmelicek1.8311117123P. Klusacek1.839711101WAug 19 · 19:35R. Hruby2.25131091192P. Klusacek1.571112117113WAug 19 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.401111113M. Cvecek2.755980LAug 17 · 21:45P. Klusacek2.507970J. Kabelka1.501111113WAug 17 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.3695110P. Klusacek3.001111133
J. Steffan10
WSep 15 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.57131161192J. Steffan2.25158116113WSep 15 · 01:00P. Picek1.73611871J. Steffan2.0011911113LSep 14 · 23:30J. Steffan2.10711931P. Klusacek1.6711611113WSep 14 · 22:00J. Steffan1.731111113O. Kucirek2.008880WSep 14 · 13:28A. Svoboda1.80119981J. Steffan1.9161111113LSep 14 · 12:00J. Steffan1.801211209142A. Svoboda1.911461811163WSep 14 · 11:30K. Darin1.61281281J. Steffan2.20111110113WSep 14 · 10:00J. Steffan1.7391111113V. Pecka2.00113741LSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113
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