TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12447623
Played Aug 17Finished
Jan Kabelka
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9115111113––––
Patrik Klusacek
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:11 and never touched — 80.3% is still 80.3%
Graded at full timeJan Kabelka to win
80.3%
80.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Kabelka above · Patrik Klusacek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 60 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Jan Kabelka at 80.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kabelka 18–6 Patrik Klusacek Patrik Klusacek has won 6 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kabelka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-6 in 24
Kabelka
Wrong
gap of 12 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kabelka 1484 vs Klusacek 1296
Kabelka
Wrong
both rated, 188 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kabelka 80% vs Klusacek 60%
Kabelka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kabelka 60% vs Klusacek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kabelka +3 · Klusacek +2
Kabelka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Kabelka) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klusacek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKabelka 1.36 / Klusacek 3.00
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Kabelka)+15.8pp
TT Cup · #12447623
Kabelka1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 33 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Klusacek3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 31 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKabelka7wins
AwayKlusacek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKabelka leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKabelka87.5%7 of 8
AwayKlusacekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kabelka8Klusacek2n = 10Kabelka took 8 of 10
S2Kabelka6Klusacek4n = 10Kabelka took 6 of 10
S3Kabelka6Klusacek4n = 10Kabelka took 6 of 10
S4Kabelka3Klusacek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKabelkaKlusacekKabelka − KlusacekBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.734.5+3.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKabelkaKlusacekBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 241 vs 147 / 34049.4%43.2%119 / 241 vs 147 / 340Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KabelkaKabelka 1.36/Klusacek 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
84.6%
Kabelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Klusacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 21:55J. Kabelka—81511682P. Klusacek—1113811113
WAug 10 · 19:05J. Kabelka—114118113P. Klusacek—71121162
WAug 5 · 19:05J. Kabelka—1111113P. Klusacek—2750
WAug 3 · 19:35J. Kabelka—1116113P. Klusacek—71470
WJul 30 · 20:35J. Kabelka—12711113P. Klusacek—1011891
WJul 29 · 20:35J. Kabelka—12116123P. Klusacek—10811101
WJul 21 · 21:03J. Kabelka—12117113P. Klusacek—1081171
WJul 21 · 20:35J. Kabelka—1111113P. Klusacek—6890
LJul 16 · 18:35J. Kabelka—1112391P. Klusacek—71411113
LJul 15 · 21:05J. Kabelka—6970P. Klusacek—1111113
J. Kabelka10
WSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551WSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180LSep 2 · 21:18M. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7341180LSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133LSep 2 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.8011211632M. Rojka1.91611311113LSep 1 · 21:18J. Kabelka2.004570T. Krcil1.731111113
P. Klusacek10
WAug 19 · 21:40M. Chmelicek1.57121391182P. Klusacek2.251015118113LAug 19 · 20:05M. Chmelicek1.8311117123P. Klusacek1.839711101WAug 19 · 19:35R. Hruby2.25131091192P. Klusacek1.571112117113WAug 19 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.401111113M. Cvecek2.755980LAug 17 · 21:45P. Klusacek2.507970J. Kabelka1.501111113WAug 17 · 19:35R. Hruby2.50612671P. Klusacek1.50111011113WAug 17 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.571211113M. Cvecek2.2510850LAug 15 · 21:33J. Horky1.401111113P. Klusacek2.756170LAug 15 · 20:05J. Horky1.4012911113P. Klusacek2.751011671WAug 15 · 19:35R. Hruby2.2017101141P. Klusacek1.61151213113
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