TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12438708
Played Aug 15Finished
Jakub Horky
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210911116117––
Patrik Klusacek
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:04 and never touched — 82.1% is still 82.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Horky to win
82.1%
82.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Horky above · Patrik Klusacek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 77 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Horky at 82.1%
77 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Horky 16–6 Patrik Klusacek Patrik Klusacek has won 6 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:04What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Horky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-6 in 22
Horky
Correct
gap of 10 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horky 1503 vs Klusacek 1271
Horky
Correct
both rated, 232 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horky 80% vs Klusacek 60%
Horky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horky 80% vs Klusacek 60%
Horky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Horky +1 · Klusacek +3
Klusacek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Horky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klusacek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorky 1.40 / Klusacek 2.75
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Horky)+15.8pp
TT Cup · #12438708
Horky1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 24 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Klusacek2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 30 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorky9wins
AwayKlusacek1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHorky leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorky87.5%7 of 8
AwayKlusacekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horky8Klusacek2n = 10Horky took 8 of 10
S2Horky8Klusacek2n = 10Horky took 8 of 10
S3Horky8Klusacek2n = 10Horky took 8 of 10
S4Horky3Klusacek2n = 5Horky took 3 of 5
S5Horky2Klusacek1n = 3Horky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorkyKlusacekH − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.729.0+7.7per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorkyKlusacekBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 146 vs 145 / 33850.7%42.9%74 / 146 vs 145 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorkyHorky 1.40/Klusacek 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.1%
Horky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Horky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 21:33J. Horky—1111113P. Klusacek—6170
WAug 15 · 20:05J. Horky—12911113P. Klusacek—1011671
WAug 14 · 19:05J. Horky—1111113P. Klusacek—8770
WAug 2 · 11:05J. Horky—1111113P. Klusacek—3490
WJul 30 · 18:05J. Horky—411111113P. Klusacek—11611872
WJul 4 · 21:20J. Horky—11311113P. Klusacek—411671
WJul 4 · 20:35J. Horky—911116113P. Klusacek—11981192
WJul 4 · 17:10J. Horky—1111113P. Klusacek—7460
WJul 4 · 16:35J. Horky—1111113P. Klusacek—7880
LJun 5 · 21:35J. Horky—11115552P. Klusacek—841111113
J. Horky10
LAug 23 · 13:43J. Horky1.4011771252V. Kaisler2.754111110113WAug 23 · 12:05J. Horky1.3313711113M. Cyrus3.251111821WAug 23 · 11:05J. Horky1.731111113V. Kaisler2.009550WAug 23 · 10:05J. Horky1.28711811113R. Jaros3.3511511672WAug 21 · 21:35M. Chmelicek1.738840J. Horky2.001111113WAug 21 · 20:05J. Hajek2.001051391J. Horky1.73121111113WAug 21 · 19:35R. Jaros2.7510960J. Horky1.401211113LAug 21 · 18:35J. Horky1.671371111132M. Chmelicek2.10151193153WAug 16 · 13:38J. Horky1.501111113M. Cyrus2.507860WAug 16 · 12:05J. Horky1.67911117113M. Chmelicek2.1011631132
P. Klusacek10
WAug 19 · 21:40M. Chmelicek1.57121391182P. Klusacek2.251015118113LAug 19 · 20:05M. Chmelicek1.8311117123P. Klusacek1.839711101WAug 19 · 19:35R. Hruby2.25131091192P. Klusacek1.571112117113WAug 19 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.401111113M. Cvecek2.755980LAug 17 · 21:45P. Klusacek2.507970J. Kabelka1.501111113WAug 17 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.3695110P. Klusacek3.001111133WAug 17 · 19:35R. Hruby2.50612671P. Klusacek1.50111011113WAug 17 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.571211113M. Cvecek2.2510850LAug 15 · 21:33J. Horky1.401111113P. Klusacek2.756170WAug 15 · 19:35R. Hruby2.2017101141P. Klusacek1.61151213113
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