TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12462421
Played Aug 19Finished
Martin Chmelicek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101315911118811
Patrik Klusacek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:20 and never touched — 72.7% is still 72.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Chmelicek to win
72.7%
72.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Chmelicek above · Patrik Klusacek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 108 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Martin Chmelicek at 72.7%
108 points played in total.
H2H Martin Chmelicek 23–10 Patrik Klusacek Patrik Klusacek has won 10 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:20What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Chmelicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-10 in 33
Chmelicek
Wrong
gap of 13 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chmelicek 1340 vs Klusacek 1299
Chmelicek
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chmelicek 100% vs Klusacek 60%
Chmelicek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chmelicek 70% vs Klusacek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chmelicek +5 · Klusacek -1
Chmelicek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Chmelicek) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klusacek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChmelicek 1.57 / Klusacek 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Chmelicek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12462421
Chmelicek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 52 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it64% 39 of 61
Klusacek2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 32 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back14% 11 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChmelicek5wins
AwayKlusacek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChmelicek55.6%5 of 9
AwayKlusacekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chmelicek9Klusacek1n = 10Chmelicek took 9 of 10
S2Chmelicek2Klusacek8n = 10Klusacek took 8 of 10
S3Chmelicek4Klusacek6n = 10Klusacek took 6 of 10
S4Chmelicek4Klusacek4n = 8split evenly
S5Chmelicek2Klusacek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChmelicekKlusacekC − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match36.839.8−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChmelicekKlusacekBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 420 vs 151 / 34646.2%43.6%194 / 420 vs 151 / 346Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChmelicekChmelicek 1.57/Klusacek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Chmelicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Klusacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 20:05M. Chmelicek—11117123P. Klusacek—9711101
LAug 14 · 21:05M. Chmelicek—129161P. Klusacek—101111113
WAug 14 · 18:35M. Chmelicek—119116113P. Klusacek—81151162
LAug 10 · 18:35M. Chmelicek—11651162P. Klusacek—811119113
WAug 3 · 20:35M. Chmelicek—118116123P. Klusacek—411811102
WAug 2 · 10:35M. Chmelicek—1111113P. Klusacek—8860
LJul 30 · 21:08M. Chmelicek—10640P. Klusacek—1211113
LJul 30 · 19:35M. Chmelicek—114591P. Klusacek—61111113
WJul 29 · 21:13M. Chmelicek—11711133P. Klusacek—7119111
LJul 29 · 19:35M. Chmelicek—11451192P. Klusacek—911118113
M. Chmelicek10
LSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840WSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.4451141142M. Chmelicek2.63117116113WSep 6 · 19:35M. Rojka1.916411131M. Chmelicek1.8011118153LSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 6 · 13:04M. Chmelicek1.2511119622R. Jaros3.7569111143LSep 6 · 12:05M. Chmelicek1.91911941P. Pesout1.8011711113LSep 6 · 11:05M. Chmelicek1.676790T. Motacek2.101111113WSep 6 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.201112109113R. Jaros4.33810121172WSep 5 · 17:15M. Chmelicek1.1716115113R. Jaros4.501481131LSep 5 · 16:05M. Chmelicek1.53591111102T. Motacek2.38111196123
P. Klusacek10
LAug 19 · 20:05M. Chmelicek1.8311117123P. Klusacek1.839711101WAug 19 · 19:35R. Hruby2.25131091192P. Klusacek1.571112117113WAug 19 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.401111113M. Cvecek2.755980LAug 17 · 21:45P. Klusacek2.507970J. Kabelka1.501111113WAug 17 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.3695110P. Klusacek3.001111133WAug 17 · 19:35R. Hruby2.50612671P. Klusacek1.50111011113WAug 17 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.571211113M. Cvecek2.2510850LAug 15 · 21:33J. Horky1.401111113P. Klusacek2.756170LAug 15 · 20:05J. Horky1.4012911113P. Klusacek2.751011671WAug 15 · 19:35R. Hruby2.2017101141P. Klusacek1.61151213113
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