TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12451995
Played Aug 17Finished
Patrik Klusacek
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911711––––
Jan Kabelka
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:32 and never touched — 78.3% is still 78.3%
Graded at full timeJan Kabelka to win
78.3%
78.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Klusacek above · Jan Kabelka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jan Kabelka at 78.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Klusacek 6–18 Jan Kabelka Patrik Klusacek has won 6 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kabelka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-18 in 24
Kabelka
Correct
gap of 12 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klusacek 1318 vs Kabelka 1462
Kabelka
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klusacek 60% vs Kabelka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klusacek 60% vs Kabelka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klusacek +3 · Kabelka -1
Klusacek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Kabelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klusacek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlusacek 2.50 / Kabelka 1.50
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Kabelka)+15.8pp
TT Cup · #12451995
Klusacek2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 31 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Kabelka1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 33 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlusacek3wins
AwayKabelka7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKabelka leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlusacekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKabelka87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klusacek2Kabelka8n = 10Kabelka took 8 of 10
S2Klusacek4Kabelka6n = 10Kabelka took 6 of 10
S3Klusacek4Kabelka6n = 10Kabelka took 6 of 10
S4Klusacek3Kabelka3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlusacekKabelkaKlusacek − KabelkaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.537.7−3.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlusacekKabelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 341 vs 119 / 24243.4%49.2%148 / 341 vs 119 / 242Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KabelkaKlusacek 2.50/Kabelka 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Kabelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kabelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 21:55P. Klusacek—1113811113J. Kabelka—81511682
LAug 10 · 19:05P. Klusacek—71121162J. Kabelka—114118113
LAug 5 · 19:05P. Klusacek—2750J. Kabelka—1111113
LAug 3 · 19:35P. Klusacek—71470J. Kabelka—1116113
LJul 30 · 20:35P. Klusacek—1011891J. Kabelka—12711113
LJul 29 · 20:35P. Klusacek—10811101J. Kabelka—12116123
LJul 21 · 21:03P. Klusacek—1081171J. Kabelka—12117113
LJul 21 · 20:35P. Klusacek—6890J. Kabelka—1111113
WJul 16 · 18:35P. Klusacek—71411113J. Kabelka—1112391
WJul 15 · 21:05P. Klusacek—1111113J. Kabelka—6970
P. Klusacek10
WAug 19 · 21:40M. Chmelicek1.57121391182P. Klusacek2.251015118113LAug 19 · 20:05M. Chmelicek1.8311117123P. Klusacek1.839711101WAug 19 · 19:35R. Hruby2.25131091192P. Klusacek1.571112117113WAug 19 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.401111113M. Cvecek2.755980WAug 17 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.3695110P. Klusacek3.001111133WAug 17 · 19:35R. Hruby2.50612671P. Klusacek1.50111011113WAug 17 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.571211113M. Cvecek2.2510850LAug 15 · 21:33J. Horky1.401111113P. Klusacek2.756170LAug 15 · 20:05J. Horky1.4012911113P. Klusacek2.751011671WAug 15 · 19:35R. Hruby2.2017101141P. Klusacek1.61151213113
J. Kabelka10
WSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551WSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180LSep 2 · 21:18M. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7341180LSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133LSep 2 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.8011211632M. Rojka1.91611311113LAug 17 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.3695110P. Klusacek3.001111133
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