TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12459748
Played Aug 19Finished
Radek Hruby
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13111012911117911
Patrik Klusacek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:20 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timePatrik Klusacek to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Hruby above · Patrik Klusacek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 104 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Patrik Klusacek at 66.5%
104 points played in total.
H2H Radek Hruby 3–9 Patrik Klusacek Radek Hruby has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:20What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Klusacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Klusacek
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hruby 1232 vs Klusacek 1312
Klusacek
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hruby 40% vs Klusacek 80%
Klusacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hruby 40% vs Klusacek 70%
Klusacek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hruby -1 · Klusacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Klusacek) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klusacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHruby 2.25 / Klusacek 1.57
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Klusacek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12459748
Hruby2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 15 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back35% 7 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Klusacek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 22 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHruby2wins
AwayKlusacek8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKlusacek leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHruby28.6%2 of 7
AwayKlusacek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hruby7Klusacek3n = 10Hruby took 7 of 10
S2Hruby4Klusacek6n = 10Klusacek took 6 of 10
S3Hruby3Klusacek7n = 10Klusacek took 7 of 10
S4Hruby3Klusacek6n = 9Klusacek took 6 of 9
S5Hruby0Klusacek4n = 4Klusacek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrubyKlusacekH − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.543.7−5.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrubyKlusacekBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 120 vs 149 / 34336.7%43.4%44 / 120 vs 149 / 343Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlusacekHruby 2.25/Klusacek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Klusacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Klusacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 19:35R. Hruby—612671P. Klusacek—111011113
LAug 15 · 19:35R. Hruby—17101141P. Klusacek—151213113
WJul 5 · 18:05R. Hruby—13117113P. Klusacek—1181121
LMay 29 · 18:35R. Hruby—711117142P. Klusacek—112811163
LMay 8 · 18:35R. Hruby—1112561P. Klusacek—71411113
LMay 3 · 14:35R. Hruby—11114642P. Klusacek—761111113
LMay 1 · 18:35R. Hruby—9490P. Klusacek—1111113
LApr 6 · 17:40R. Hruby—11811592P. Klusacek—911911113
WApr 6 · 14:05R. Hruby—11613113P. Klusacek—8111161
LFeb 21 · 22:10R. Hruby—12581352P. Klusacek—10111111113
R. Hruby10
LSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113LSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113WSep 5 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.301181191R. Hruby3.4091113113WSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123WAug 30 · 17:05R. Hruby2.10116811113R. Jaros1.6741111972WAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby2.101111113R. Jaros1.679550LAug 30 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.3311411113R. Hruby3.25811881LAug 30 · 14:35P. Pesout1.57131110113R. Hruby2.251161291LAug 28 · 21:05R. Hruby1.538770T. Motacek2.381111113WAug 28 · 20:35T. Motacek1.5791070R. Hruby2.251112113
P. Klusacek10
WAug 19 · 21:40M. Chmelicek1.57121391182P. Klusacek2.251015118113LAug 19 · 20:05M. Chmelicek1.8311117123P. Klusacek1.839711101WAug 19 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.401111113M. Cvecek2.755980LAug 17 · 21:45P. Klusacek2.507970J. Kabelka1.501111113WAug 17 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.3695110P. Klusacek3.001111133WAug 17 · 19:35R. Hruby2.50612671P. Klusacek1.50111011113WAug 17 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.571211113M. Cvecek2.2510850LAug 15 · 21:33J. Horky1.401111113P. Klusacek2.756170LAug 15 · 20:05J. Horky1.4012911113P. Klusacek2.751011671WAug 15 · 19:35R. Hruby2.2017101141P. Klusacek1.61151213113
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