TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12438740
Played Aug 15Finished
Radek Hruby
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
171510121113411––
Patrik Klusacek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:05 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timePatrik Klusacek to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Hruby above · Patrik Klusacek below
Set 1 · 17-15
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 93 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Patrik Klusacek at 60.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Radek Hruby 3–7 Patrik Klusacek Radek Hruby has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Klusacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Klusacek
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hruby 1280 vs Klusacek 1277
Hruby
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hruby 40% vs Klusacek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hruby 20% vs Klusacek 60%
Klusacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hruby +1 · Klusacek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Klusacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klusacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHruby 2.20 / Klusacek 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Klusacek)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12438740
Hruby2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 12 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back31% 5 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Klusacek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 19 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it67% 10 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHruby3wins
AwayKlusacek7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKlusacek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHruby33.3%2 of 6
AwayKlusacek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hruby6Klusacek4n = 10Hruby took 6 of 10
S2Hruby4Klusacek6n = 10Klusacek took 6 of 10
S3Hruby4Klusacek6n = 10Klusacek took 6 of 10
S4Hruby4Klusacek4n = 8split evenly
S5Hruby0Klusacek4n = 4Klusacek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrubyKlusacekH − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.341.2−3.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrubyKlusacekBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 112 vs 144 / 33536.6%43%41 / 112 vs 144 / 335Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlusacekHruby 2.20/Klusacek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Klusacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Klusacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 5 · 18:05R. Hruby—13117113P. Klusacek—1181121
LMay 29 · 18:35R. Hruby—711117142P. Klusacek—112811163
LMay 8 · 18:35R. Hruby—1112561P. Klusacek—71411113
LMay 3 · 14:35R. Hruby—11114642P. Klusacek—761111113
LMay 1 · 18:35R. Hruby—9490P. Klusacek—1111113
LApr 6 · 17:40R. Hruby—11811592P. Klusacek—911911113
WApr 6 · 14:05R. Hruby—11613113P. Klusacek—8111161
LFeb 21 · 22:10R. Hruby—12581352P. Klusacek—10111111113
WFeb 21 · 21:35R. Hruby—61111113P. Klusacek—118781
LDec 25 · 19:05R. Hruby—11380P. Klusacek—1311113
R. Hruby10
LSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113LSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113WSep 5 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.301181191R. Hruby3.4091113113WSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123WAug 30 · 17:05R. Hruby2.10116811113R. Jaros1.6741111972WAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby2.101111113R. Jaros1.679550LAug 30 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.3311411113R. Hruby3.25811881LAug 30 · 14:35P. Pesout1.57131110113R. Hruby2.251161291LAug 28 · 21:05R. Hruby1.538770T. Motacek2.381111113WAug 28 · 20:35T. Motacek1.5791070R. Hruby2.251112113
P. Klusacek10
WAug 19 · 21:40M. Chmelicek1.57121391182P. Klusacek2.251015118113LAug 19 · 20:05M. Chmelicek1.8311117123P. Klusacek1.839711101WAug 19 · 19:35R. Hruby2.25131091192P. Klusacek1.571112117113WAug 19 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.401111113M. Cvecek2.755980LAug 17 · 21:45P. Klusacek2.507970J. Kabelka1.501111113WAug 17 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.3695110P. Klusacek3.001111133WAug 17 · 19:35R. Hruby2.50612671P. Klusacek1.50111011113WAug 17 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.571211113M. Cvecek2.2510850LAug 15 · 21:33J. Horky1.401111113P. Klusacek2.756170LAug 15 · 20:05J. Horky1.4012911113P. Klusacek2.751011671
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