TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
101214121185111012
Rotislav Hasmanda
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeMartin Stefek to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Rotislav Hasmanda below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 105 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Martin Stefek at 61.3%
105 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 29–23 Rotislav Hasmanda Rotislav Hasmanda has won 23 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Stefek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-23 in 52
Stefek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1406 vs Hasmanda 1336
Stefek
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 60% vs Hasmanda 40%
Stefek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 80% vs Hasmanda 20%
Stefek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek -1 · Hasmanda -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Stefek) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.67 / Hasmanda 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Stefek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13158792
Stefek1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 116 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it76% 84 of 110
Hasmanda2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 58 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStefek7wins
AwayHasmanda3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStefek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek100%5 of 5
AwayHasmanda60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek5Hasmanda5n = 10split evenly
S2Stefek4Hasmanda6n = 10Hasmanda took 6 of 10
S3Stefek7Hasmanda3n = 10Stefek took 7 of 10
S4Stefek5Hasmanda2n = 7Stefek took 5 of 7
S5Stefek2Hasmanda1n = 3Stefek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStefekHasmandaS − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.837.9+0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekHasmandaBasisWin rate · lifetime594 / 1236 vs 380 / 77748.1%48.9%594 / 1236 vs 380 / 777Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekStefek 1.67/Hasmanda 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hasmanda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 20:30M. Stefek1910450R. Hasmanda341211113
WSep 16 · 22:00M. Stefek341111123R. Hasmanda2394100
WSep 10 · 11:00M. Stefek4012116113R. Hasmanda371081181
WAug 30 · 23:00M. Stefek4012611113R. Hasmanda381011891
WAug 27 · 23:00M. Stefek50811119113R. Hasmanda4411981152
WAug 26 · 24:30M. Stefek4211911113R. Hasmanda36811981
LAug 24 · 13:28M. Stefek4278111152R. Hasmanda45111166113
WAug 24 · 10:00M. Stefek48121312113R. Hasmanda4210151071
LAug 22 · 17:30M. Stefek2358100R. Hasmanda341111123
WAug 22 · 16:30M. Stefek50813117113R. Hasmanda46111161172
M. Stefek10
LSep 20 · 23:00J. Pleskot1.911191011113M. Stefek1.8061112452WSep 19 · 13:30J. Strnad2.10106100M. Stefek1.671211123WSep 19 · 12:00M. Stefek1.33121011113P. Berdych3.251012861LSep 19 · 11:30J. Strnad2.75141111113M. Stefek1.40169551WSep 19 · 10:00M. Stefek1.3681111113V. Sr3.00119551WSep 18 · 13:30M. Stefek1.50941111113P. Kulhanek2.4511117942WSep 18 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda1.8378100M. Stefek1.831111123WSep 18 · 11:00P. Kulhanek2.3840121172M. Stefek1.531111107113WSep 18 · 10:30M. Stefek1.671211123Z. Drabek2.10103100WSep 18 · 08:59M. Stefek1.6751113113Z. Zikmunda2.101141191
R. Hasmanda10
WSep 21 · 01:00R. Hasmanda3.503111111113T. Regner1.2811139592LSep 20 · 22:30L. Sulava3.251111113R. Hasmanda1.338970LSep 17 · 21:30R. Hasmanda2.45911841V. Kosar1.4811811113WSep 17 · 20:30R. Hasmanda2.201211113M. Stefek1.6110450WSep 17 · 19:00R. Hasmanda1.3611117113L. Sulava3.00681171LSep 17 · 18:00V. Kosar1.6111117113R. Hasmanda2.20551191LSep 17 · 02:30M. Novak1.83411511113R. Hasmanda1.8311911872LSep 17 · 01:00J. Framberk1.91811911113R. Hasmanda1.8011411592LSep 16 · 23:30R. Hasmanda2.755770T. Regner1.401111113LSep 16 · 22:00R. Hasmanda2.0094100M. Stefek1.731111123
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