TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Rotislav Hasmanda
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
3111113119115119
Tomas Regner
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:38 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeTomas Regner to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRotislav Hasmanda above · Tomas Regner below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 94 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Regner at 76.6%
94 points played in total.
H2H Rotislav Hasmanda 5–28 Tomas Regner Rotislav Hasmanda has won 5 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Regner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-28 in 33
Regner
Wrong
gap of 23 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasmanda 1348 vs Regner 1360
Regner
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasmanda 60% vs Regner 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasmanda 30% vs Regner 60%
Regner
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasmanda +1 · Regner -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Regner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasmanda 3.50 / Regner 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Regner)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159935
Hasmanda3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 58 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Regner1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 94 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it70% 64 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHasmanda2wins
AwayRegner8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasmanda66.7%2 of 3
AwayRegner100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasmanda3Regner7n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S2Hasmanda4Regner6n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S3Hasmanda2Regner8n = 10Regner took 8 of 10
S4Hasmanda2Regner3n = 5Regner took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHasmandaRegnerH − RBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.135.7−6.6per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmandaRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 778 vs 491 / 99549%49.4%381 / 778 vs 491 / 995Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerHasmanda 3.50/Regner 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.6%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hasmanda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 23:30R. Hasmanda195770T. Regner331111113
LAug 28 · 03:02R. Hasmanda25831131T. Regner3811115113
LAug 27 · 22:00R. Hasmanda351347111T. Regner46111111133
LAug 26 · 03:00R. Hasmanda179260T. Regner331111113
WAug 25 · 23:30R. Hasmanda3911116113T. Regner24631141
LJun 24 · 23:30R. Hasmanda218670T. Regner331111113
LJun 2 · 24:30R. Hasmanda31611681T. Regner4011711113
LMay 12 · 01:00R. Hasmanda142660T. Regner331111113
LApr 13 · 11:00R. Hasmanda568111511112T. Regner58118179133
WApr 9 · 22:30R. Hasmanda341211113T. Regner1910270
R. Hasmanda10
WSep 21 · 02:00R. Hasmanda1.6112117113J. Pleskot2.201061181WSep 21 · 24:00M. Stefek1.671014115102R. Hasmanda2.101212811123LSep 20 · 22:30L. Sulava3.251111113R. Hasmanda1.338970LSep 17 · 21:30R. Hasmanda2.45911841V. Kosar1.4811811113WSep 17 · 20:30R. Hasmanda2.201211113M. Stefek1.6110450WSep 17 · 19:00R. Hasmanda1.3611117113L. Sulava3.00681171LSep 17 · 18:00V. Kosar1.6111117113R. Hasmanda2.20551191LSep 17 · 02:30M. Novak1.83411511113R. Hasmanda1.8311911872LSep 17 · 01:00J. Framberk1.91811911113R. Hasmanda1.8011411592LSep 16 · 23:30R. Hasmanda2.755770T. Regner1.401111113
T. Regner10
LSep 20 · 23:30T. Regner1.8381111121L. Sulava1.8311913143WSep 20 · 22:00T. Regner1.50621111113J. Pleskot2.5011112482WSep 18 · 20:58T. Regner1.331411113J. Strnad3.2512870LSep 18 · 20:00V. Kosar2.00119119133T. Regner1.73411711112WSep 18 · 19:00J. Strnad3.2561111682T. Regner1.33118711113LSep 18 · 18:30T. Regner1.8311126872L. Sulava1.839101111113LSep 17 · 03:28M. Stefek2.00481111113T. Regner1.7311118342WSep 17 · 01:30T. Regner1.67119118113M. Novak2.1091181192WSep 17 · 24:30M. Stefek2.001178101T. Regner1.7391111123WSep 16 · 23:30R. Hasmanda2.755770T. Regner1.401111113
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