TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Rotislav Hasmanda
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210116711118––
Jan Pleskot
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:28 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeRotislav Hasmanda to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRotislav Hasmanda above · Jan Pleskot below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Rotislav Hasmanda at 58.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Rotislav Hasmanda 19–16 Jan Pleskot Jan Pleskot has won 16 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hasmanda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-16 in 35
Hasmanda
Correct
gap of 3 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasmanda 1359 vs Pleskot 1271
Hasmanda
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasmanda 60% vs Pleskot 20%
Hasmanda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasmanda 40% vs Pleskot 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasmanda +2 · Pleskot +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Hasmanda) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pleskot form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasmanda 1.61 / Pleskot 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Hasmanda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159905
Hasmanda1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 101 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it92% 58 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it80% 77 of 96
Pleskot2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 66 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back22% 27 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHasmanda7wins
AwayPleskot3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHasmanda leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasmanda83.3%5 of 6
AwayPleskot50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasmanda6Pleskot4n = 10Hasmanda took 6 of 10
S2Hasmanda6Pleskot4n = 10Hasmanda took 6 of 10
S3Hasmanda7Pleskot3n = 10Hasmanda took 7 of 10
S4Hasmanda3Pleskot3n = 6split evenly
S5Hasmanda2Pleskot1n = 3Hasmanda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHasmandaPleskotH − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.536.7+2.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmandaPleskotBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 779 vs 283 / 61649%45.9%382 / 779 vs 283 / 616Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmandaHasmanda 1.61/Pleskot 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Hasmanda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hasmanda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 02:30R. Hasmanda331111113J. Pleskot229760
WAug 3 · 14:00R. Hasmanda4071111113J. Pleskot34117791
WJul 13 · 22:00R. Hasmanda38111231113J. Pleskot48910111172
LJun 10 · 17:30R. Hasmanda591111141582J. Pleskot56571617113
LJun 10 · 14:00R. Hasmanda2788110J. Pleskot351111133
LJun 4 · 02:30R. Hasmanda391271371J. Pleskot47141111113
WMay 13 · 14:00R. Hasmanda49861311113J. Pleskot44111111382
WMay 5 · 02:00R. Hasmanda341111123J. Pleskot2046100
WApr 10 · 24:30R. Hasmanda4211911113J. Pleskot36911971
WApr 8 · 02:00R. Hasmanda341111123J. Pleskot2569100
R. Hasmanda10
WSep 21 · 01:00R. Hasmanda3.503111111113T. Regner1.2811139592WSep 21 · 24:00M. Stefek1.671014115102R. Hasmanda2.101212811123LSep 20 · 22:30L. Sulava3.251111113R. Hasmanda1.338970LSep 17 · 21:30R. Hasmanda2.45911841V. Kosar1.4811811113WSep 17 · 20:30R. Hasmanda2.201211113M. Stefek1.6110450WSep 17 · 19:00R. Hasmanda1.3611117113L. Sulava3.00681171LSep 17 · 18:00V. Kosar1.6111117113R. Hasmanda2.20551191LSep 17 · 02:30M. Novak1.83411511113R. Hasmanda1.8311911872LSep 17 · 01:00J. Framberk1.91811911113R. Hasmanda1.8011411592LSep 16 · 23:30R. Hasmanda2.755770T. Regner1.401111113
J. Pleskot10
LSep 21 · 24:30J. Pleskot1.837730L. Sulava1.831111113WSep 20 · 23:00J. Pleskot1.911191011113M. Stefek1.8061112452LSep 20 · 22:00T. Regner1.50621111113J. Pleskot2.5011112482LSep 16 · 17:00L. Sulava2.00111117113J. Pleskot1.7361161162LSep 16 · 16:30J. Pleskot2.2576100T. Nohejl1.571111123LSep 16 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.83351191L. Sulava1.8311119113LSep 16 · 14:00T. Regner1.40914116113J. Pleskot2.75111271132LSep 14 · 17:30J. Framberk1.731110611113J. Pleskot2.0091211672WSep 14 · 16:00J. Pleskot2.001112511113J. Framberk1.7391411632LSep 14 · 15:30M. Barta1.91115311123J. Pleskot1.80611117102
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