TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13156238
Played Sep 18Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412118117––––
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 63 set 3, 11-7
63 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 48–17 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 has won 17 of their 65 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Regner beat Strnad 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Regner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.33 / Strnad 3.25
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Regner)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13156238
Regner1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 92 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it70% 62 of 89
Strnad3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 86 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner10wins
AwayStrnad0wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner100%8 of 8
AwayStrnadn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner8Strnad2n = 10Regner took 8 of 10
S2Regner7Strnad3n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S3Regner6Strnad4n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S4Regner7Strnad0n = 7Regner took 7 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerStrnadR − SBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.632.7+8.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime489 / 992 vs 551 / 112149.3%49.2%489 / 992 vs 551 / 1121Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.33/Strnad 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.7%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 19:00T. Regner48118711113J. Strnad4261111682
WJun 19 · 02:30T. Regner331111113J. Strnad188550
WMay 25 · 18:00T. Regner4515127113J. Strnad3913101151
WFeb 12 · 24:30T. Regner578111611113J. Strnad55111314892
WFeb 9 · 17:30T. Regner4511911143J. Strnad344117121
WDec 19 · 23:00T. Regner331111113J. Strnad229490
WNov 30 · 15:00T. Regner331111113J. Strnad215790
WNov 27 · 11:00T. Regner3841111123J. Strnad351177101
WNov 26 · 07:00T. Regner4211119113J. Strnad29951141
WNov 23 · 03:00T. Regner4211119113J. Strnad32571191
T. Regner10
LSep 18 · 20:00V. Kosar2.00119119133T. Regner1.73411711112WSep 18 · 19:00J. Strnad3.2561111682T. Regner1.33118711113LSep 18 · 18:30T. Regner1.8311126872L. Sulava1.839101111113LSep 17 · 03:28M. Stefek2.00481111113T. Regner1.7311118342WSep 17 · 01:30T. Regner1.67119118113M. Novak2.1091181192WSep 17 · 24:30M. Stefek2.001178101T. Regner1.7391111123WSep 16 · 23:30R. Hasmanda2.755770T. Regner1.401111113LSep 16 · 22:30T. Regner1.91138941J. Framberk1.80111111113WSep 16 · 17:30T. Nohejl1.7110990T. Regner2.001211113WSep 16 · 16:00T. Regner1.9111118113L. Sulava1.80481191
J. Strnad10
LSep 18 · 20:30J. Strnad2.007570L. Sulava1.731111113LSep 18 · 19:00J. Strnad3.2561111682T. Regner1.33118711113LSep 18 · 18:00V. Kosar1.44111268113J. Strnad2.63310111182WSep 17 · 21:28J. Strnad1.67111111113M. Barta2.10138751LSep 17 · 20:00J. Strnad1.617146111M. Barta2.20111211133WSep 17 · 19:30J. Svec2.755540J. Strnad1.401111113WSep 17 · 18:00J. Strnad1.301111113J. Grohsgott3.400930WSep 17 · 09:30V. Sr2.0061111772J. Strnad1.73114911113LSep 17 · 08:00J. Strnad1.61671161V. Sr2.2011118113WSep 17 · 07:30M. Vaclavik2.0011119792J. Strnad1.73261111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Regner
Nothing scheduled
J. Strnad
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.