TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Radek Zeman
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114119911116––
Ondrej Sebek
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:28 and never touched — 72.1% is still 72.1%
Graded at full timeRadek Zeman to win
72.1%
72.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Zeman above · Ondrej Sebek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Radek Zeman at 72.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zeman 5–0 Ondrej Sebek Ondrej Sebek has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Zeman
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1513 vs Sebek 1287
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 226 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 100% vs Sebek 80%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 90% vs Sebek 60%
Zeman
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman +9 · Sebek +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sebek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.33 / Sebek 3.00
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Zeman)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13163059
Zeman1.33
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 112 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it91% 70 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it80% 89 of 111
Sebek3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 18 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeZeman5wins
AwaySebek0wins
Zeman leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman100%5 of 5
AwaySebekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman5Sebek0n = 5Zeman took 5 of 5
S2Zeman5Sebek0n = 5Zeman took 5 of 5
S3Zeman3Sebek2n = 5Zeman took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home360%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricZemanSebekZ − SBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match36.425.2+11.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanSebekBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 615 vs 185 / 37453%49.5%326 / 615 vs 185 / 374Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.33/Sebek 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 20 · 07:20R. Zeman4211119113O. Sebek30491161
WMar 29 · 22:25R. Zeman331111113O. Sebek175750
WMar 29 · 18:55R. Zeman3811115113O. Sebek31861161
WDec 20 · 17:55R. Zeman361411113O. Sebek2412750
WDec 16 · 21:50R. Zeman331111113O. Sebek248880
R. Zeman10
LSep 20 · 08:20R. Zeman1.421174101L. Pour2.6591111123WSep 20 · 06:20R. Zeman1.41131111113M. Nemec2.60155381WSep 18 · 17:54R. Zeman2.20119311113P. Cibik1.6191111792WSep 18 · 16:50R. Zeman1.361113133M. Nemec3.00811110WSep 18 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky5.003690R. Zeman1.141111113WSep 18 · 14:50P. Cibik1.44611951R. Zeman2.6311911113WSep 15 · 21:50R. Zeman2.651111113J. Mach1.426480WSep 15 · 20:50M. Dlask2.104640R. Zeman1.671111113WSep 15 · 19:50R. Zeman3.00811128113J. Mach1.36119101192WSep 15 · 18:20M. Nemec3.0011611952R. Zeman1.36211411113
O. Sebek10
WSep 20 · 06:50L. Pour1.40511951O. Sebek2.7511811113WSep 17 · 21:23O. Sebek1.73118511113M. Kolbusovsky2.0071111682WSep 17 · 20:20O. Sebek1.36111112113M. Kolbusovsky3.00691481WSep 17 · 19:20O. Sebek3.4011101112113M. Nemec1.3081221462LSep 17 · 18:20O. Sebek2.106770M. Dlask1.671111113WSep 10 · 13:19M. Kolbusovsky1.911211913122O. Sebek1.801461111143LSep 10 · 12:20O. Sebek2.006990L. Pour1.731111113LSep 10 · 11:20O. Sebek3.252850M. Nemec1.331111113LSep 10 · 10:20O. Sebek1.7398111162M. Kolbusovsky2.00111176113WSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113
Upcoming Matches
R. Zeman
Nothing scheduled
O. Sebek
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