TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13148937
Played Sep 17Finished
Ondrej Sebek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117811511116118
Michal Kolbusovsky
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
How it is goingOndrej Sebek above · Michal Kolbusovsky below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 89 set 5, 11-8
89 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Sebek 40–25 Michal Kolbusovsky Michal Kolbusovsky has won 25 of their 65 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sebek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbusovsky form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSebek 1.73 / Kolbusovsky 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sebek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13148937
Sebek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite36% won 5 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it56% 5 of 9
Kolbusovsky2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 54 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSebek6wins
AwayKolbusovsky4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSebek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSebek85.7%6 of 7
AwayKolbusovsky100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sebek7Kolbusovsky3n = 10Sebek took 7 of 10
S2Sebek5Kolbusovsky5n = 10split evenly
S3Sebek6Kolbusovsky4n = 10Sebek took 6 of 10
S4Sebek3Kolbusovsky5n = 8Kolbusovsky took 5 of 8
S5Sebek2Kolbusovsky1n = 3Sebek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSebekKolbusovskyS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.537.7+2.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSebekKolbusovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 371 vs 209 / 45449.3%46%183 / 371 vs 209 / 454Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SebekSebek 1.73/Kolbusovsky 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 20:20O. Sebek45111112113M. Kolbusovsky37691481
WSep 10 · 13:19O. Sebek561461111143M. Kolbusovsky571211913122
LSep 10 · 10:20O. Sebek4598111162M. Kolbusovsky46111176113
LJun 4 · 10:50O. Sebek37911981M. Kolbusovsky3611311113
WMay 26 · 10:20O. Sebek491161110113M. Kolbusovsky4371141292
WMay 21 · 13:30O. Sebek341112113M. Kolbusovsky2261060
WMay 21 · 11:20O. Sebek4312119113M. Kolbusovsky351071171
WMay 17 · 10:00O. Sebek331111113M. Kolbusovsky238690
LMay 17 · 07:50O. Sebek33118951M. Kolbusovsky4291111113
LMay 12 · 12:20O. Sebek30741181M. Kolbusovsky3611113113
O. Sebek10
WSep 17 · 20:20O. Sebek1.36111112113M. Kolbusovsky3.00691481WSep 17 · 19:20O. Sebek3.4011101112113M. Nemec1.3081221462LSep 17 · 18:20O. Sebek2.106770M. Dlask1.671111113WSep 10 · 13:19M. Kolbusovsky1.911211913122O. Sebek1.801461111143LSep 10 · 12:20O. Sebek2.006990L. Pour1.731111113LSep 10 · 11:20O. Sebek3.252850M. Nemec1.331111113LSep 10 · 10:20O. Sebek1.7398111162M. Kolbusovsky2.00111176113WSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113WSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133LSep 3 · 15:50M. Nemec1.3311118113O. Sebek3.25871191
M. Kolbusovsky10
LSep 17 · 20:20O. Sebek1.36111112113M. Kolbusovsky3.00691481LSep 17 · 19:50M. Dlask1.501111113M. Kolbusovsky2.508260LSep 17 · 18:50M. Kolbusovsky2.25411341M. Nemec1.5711911113LSep 12 · 18:00R. Zeman1.131211113M. Kolbusovsky5.5010370LSep 12 · 16:55R. Zeman1.251111113M. Kolbusovsky3.754660LSep 12 · 16:25P. Cibik1.5011111112123M. Kolbusovsky2.50136114102LSep 12 · 15:25M. Kolbusovsky2.509870O. Hula1.501111113LSep 11 · 21:55P. Cibik1.2511811113M. Kolbusovsky3.35611981LSep 10 · 13:19M. Kolbusovsky1.911211913122O. Sebek1.801461111143WSep 10 · 10:20O. Sebek1.7398111162M. Kolbusovsky2.00111176113
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