TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Radek Zeman
Home
1.42
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1197114111012––
Lukas Pour
Away
2.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:27 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeRadek Zeman to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Zeman above · Lukas Pour below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 75 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Radek Zeman at 63.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zeman 17–8 Lukas Pour Lukas Pour has won 8 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:27What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Zeman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-8 in 25
Zeman
Wrong
gap of 9 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1513 vs Pour 1283
Zeman
Wrong
both rated, 230 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 100% vs Pour 40%
Zeman
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 100% vs Pour 50%
Zeman
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman +10 · Pour +1
Zeman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.42 / Pour 2.65
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Zeman)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13163056
Zeman1.42
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 10
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 112 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it91% 70 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it80% 89 of 111
Pour2.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog24% won 6 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman7wins
AwayPour3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman71.4%5 of 7
AwayPour33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman7Pour3n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S2Zeman6Pour4n = 10Zeman took 6 of 10
S3Zeman8Pour2n = 10Zeman took 8 of 10
S4Zeman3Pour2n = 5Zeman took 3 of 5
S5Zeman1Pour2n = 3Pour took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanPourZ − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.733.3+4.4per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanPourBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 615 vs 69 / 15753%44%326 / 615 vs 69 / 157Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.42/Pour 2.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pour won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 11:20R. Zeman50911118113L. Pour3311301182
WJul 26 · 11:50R. Zeman4171211113L. Pour371110971
WApr 23 · 14:50R. Zeman4011511133L. Pour399118111
WApr 5 · 10:20R. Zeman351113113L. Pour2661190
WApr 4 · 10:55R. Zeman341211113L. Pour2610880
LMar 15 · 17:20R. Zeman4511681192L. Pour42411115113
WFeb 27 · 21:50R. Zeman331111113L. Pour208750
LJan 18 · 10:25R. Zeman46117114132L. Pour53911711153
LJan 18 · 07:20R. Zeman185490L. Pour331111113
WDec 7 · 09:20R. Zeman351111133L. Pour2467110
R. Zeman10
WSep 20 · 07:20R. Zeman1.3311119113O. Sebek3.00491161WSep 20 · 06:20R. Zeman1.41131111113M. Nemec2.60155381WSep 18 · 17:54R. Zeman2.20119311113P. Cibik1.6191111792WSep 18 · 16:50R. Zeman1.361113133M. Nemec3.00811110WSep 18 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky5.003690R. Zeman1.141111113WSep 18 · 14:50P. Cibik1.44611951R. Zeman2.6311911113WSep 15 · 21:50R. Zeman2.651111113J. Mach1.426480WSep 15 · 20:50M. Dlask2.104640R. Zeman1.671111113WSep 15 · 19:50R. Zeman3.00811128113J. Mach1.36119101192WSep 15 · 18:20M. Nemec3.0011611952R. Zeman1.36211411113
L. Pour10
WSep 20 · 07:50M. Nemec1.83511145132L. Pour1.831181211153LSep 20 · 06:50L. Pour1.40511951O. Sebek2.7511811113LSep 10 · 13:49M. Nemec1.67771113123L. Pour2.101111511102WSep 10 · 12:20O. Sebek2.006990L. Pour1.731111113LSep 10 · 11:50M. Kolbusovsky1.73101211113L. Pour2.001210781WSep 10 · 10:50L. Pour1.91111211123M. Nemec1.8061013101WAug 2 · 13:28L. Pour2.3812118113J. Rolik1.531061121WAug 2 · 12:20L. Pour1.831412116113J. Rolik1.83161091182LAug 2 · 11:20L. Pour3.0011301182R. Zeman1.36911118113LAug 2 · 10:20L. Pour1.8396111162M. Nemec1.83111153113
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