TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Jachym Sebl
Home
1.59
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012117118811911
Zdenek Muhlhauser
Away
2.07
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJachym Sebl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJachym Sebl above · Zdenek Muhlhauser below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 98 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jachym Sebl at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Sebl 2–3 Zdenek Muhlhauser Jachym Sebl has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:27What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.59 (57%)
Sebl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sebl 1667 vs Muhlhauser 1530
Sebl
Wrong
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sebl 60% vs Muhlhauser 40%
Sebl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sebl 80% vs Muhlhauser 50%
Sebl
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sebl -1 · Muhlhauser +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sebl) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSebl 1.59 / Muhlhauser 2.07
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Sebl)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13163053
Sebl1.59
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 80 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it98% 53 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it78% 64 of 82
Muhlhauser2.07
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog59% won 16 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSebl2wins
AwayMuhlhauser3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMuhlhauser leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSebl50%2 of 4
AwayMuhlhausern = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sebl4Muhlhauser1n = 5Sebl took 4 of 5
S2Sebl3Muhlhauser2n = 5Sebl took 3 of 5
S3Sebl2Muhlhauser3n = 5Muhlhauser took 3 of 5
S4Sebl1Muhlhauser2n = 3Muhlhauser took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSeblMuhlhauserS − MBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match35.436.4−1.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeblMuhlhauserBasisWin rate · lifetime305 / 637 vs 59 / 11747.9%50.4%305 / 637 vs 59 / 117Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeblSebl 1.59/Muhlhauser 2.07
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Sebl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Muhlhauser won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJun 27 · 08:25J. Sebl321161051Z. Muhlhauser4391112113
WMay 31 · 16:55J. Sebl341211113Z. Muhlhauser2310760
WApr 26 · 06:55J. Sebl331111113Z. Muhlhauser279990
LApr 23 · 20:55J. Sebl4511681192Z. Muhlhauser49711119113
LFeb 22 · 08:55J. Sebl33711961Z. Muhlhauser4011711113
J. Sebl10
LSep 20 · 07:55J. Sebl1.8591390V. Koutnik1.851115113WSep 20 · 06:55J. Sebl1.601114113J. Cousin2.2071280WSep 13 · 14:25L. Rek2.255540J. Sebl1.551111113WSep 13 · 12:55L. Jirka2.258720J. Sebl1.571111113LSep 13 · 12:25L. Rek2.50111189113J. Sebl1.5088111152WSep 13 · 11:25J. Sebl1.57111189113D. Zelezny2.2533111182WSep 12 · 22:30J. Sebl2.25111011113J. Dohnal1.57812961WSep 12 · 21:25D. Zelezny1.839101161J. Sebl1.8311129113WSep 12 · 20:25J. Sebl2.7561111133J. Dohnal1.401196111WSep 12 · 18:55M. Boltik1.617990J. Sebl2.201111113
Z. Muhlhauser10
WSep 20 · 08:25J. Cousin2.2311620Z. Muhlhauser1.511311113LSep 20 · 07:25Z. Muhlhauser1.9511711952V. Koutnik1.74911311113WSep 18 · 21:58C. Kratochvil2.00712120Z. Muhlhauser1.731114143LSep 18 · 20:55Z. Muhlhauser1.73115461C. Kratochvil2.0081111113LSep 18 · 19:55Z. Muhlhauser1.736118101M. Boltik2.0011911123LSep 18 · 18:55Z. Muhlhauser1.7320990J. Cousin2.002211113WAug 22 · 10:33Z. Muhlhauser1.8011139113P. Vodal1.919111191LAug 22 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser1.5371151192P. Vodal2.38113116113WAug 22 · 07:55T. Rein3.008970Z. Muhlhauser1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:25A. Jr2.3811740Z. Muhlhauser1.531311113
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