TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Jean-Baptiste Cousin
Home
2.23
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113611211––––
Zdenek Muhlhauser
Away
1.51
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Muhlhauser to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJean-Baptiste Cousin above · Zdenek Muhlhauser below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 54 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Zdenek Muhlhauser at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jean-Baptiste Cousin 7–6 Zdenek Muhlhauser Zdenek Muhlhauser has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:27What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (60%)
Muhlhauser
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cousin 1437 vs Muhlhauser 1519
Muhlhauser
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cousin 20% vs Muhlhauser 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cousin 50% vs Muhlhauser 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cousin -2 · Muhlhauser -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Muhlhauser) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Muhlhauser form (20%) is below what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCousin 2.23 / Muhlhauser 1.51
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Muhlhauser)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13163055
Cousin2.23
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 28 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Muhlhauser1.51
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 22 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it68% 13 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCousin5wins
AwayMuhlhauser5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCousin44.4%4 of 9
AwayMuhlhausern = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cousin9Muhlhauser1n = 10Cousin took 9 of 10
S2Cousin6Muhlhauser4n = 10Cousin took 6 of 10
S3Cousin4Muhlhauser6n = 10Muhlhauser took 6 of 10
S4Cousin4Muhlhauser4n = 8split evenly
S5Cousin0Muhlhauser3n = 3Muhlhauser took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCousinMuhlhauserC − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.738.1+2.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCousinMuhlhauserBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 434 vs 58 / 11653.5%50%232 / 434 vs 58 / 116Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuhlhauserCousin 2.23/Muhlhauser 1.51
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.6%
Muhlhauser · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Muhlhauser won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 18:55J. Cousin442211113Z. Muhlhauser3820990
WAug 14 · 18:04J. Cousin3631111113Z. Muhlhauser34117881
LAug 14 · 15:25J. Cousin4311116962Z. Muhlhauser45661111113
WJun 14 · 15:25J. Cousin43111110113Z. Muhlhauser26741231
LApr 26 · 10:09J. Cousin33157471Z. Muhlhauser46131111113
LApr 26 · 09:25J. Cousin521111118112Z. Muhlhauser48713411133
WApr 23 · 22:28J. Cousin4311147113Z. Muhlhauser376121181
LApr 23 · 19:25J. Cousin371188101Z. Muhlhauser4391111123
WApr 19 · 11:25J. Cousin331111113Z. Muhlhauser187740
LApr 16 · 16:55J. Cousin4311781162Z. Muhlhauser46711116113
J. Cousin10
LSep 20 · 06:55J. Sebl1.601114113J. Cousin2.2071280LSep 19 · 18:02J. Cousin1.6531030C. Kratochvil2.101112113WSep 19 · 16:55J. Cousin1.5011119113C. Kratochvil2.50741191LSep 19 · 15:55J. Cousin1.4451113972A. Jr2.631191111113LSep 19 · 14:55J. Cousin1.9151150V. Koutnik1.801113113WSep 18 · 22:30M. Boltik1.65610131162J. Cousin2.101112116113LSep 18 · 21:25M. Boltik1.7313911113J. Cousin2.001111661WSep 18 · 20:25J. Cousin1.50101111113C. Kratochvil2.50127991WSep 18 · 18:55Z. Muhlhauser1.7320990J. Cousin2.002211113WSep 16 · 22:09J. Cousin1.531112113C. Kratochvil2.3871070
Z. Muhlhauser10
WSep 20 · 08:55J. Sebl1.59101111892Z. Muhlhauser2.07127811113LSep 20 · 07:25Z. Muhlhauser1.9511711952V. Koutnik1.74911311113WSep 18 · 21:58C. Kratochvil2.00712120Z. Muhlhauser1.731114143LSep 18 · 20:55Z. Muhlhauser1.73115461C. Kratochvil2.0081111113LSep 18 · 19:55Z. Muhlhauser1.736118101M. Boltik2.0011911123LSep 18 · 18:55Z. Muhlhauser1.7320990J. Cousin2.002211113WAug 22 · 10:33Z. Muhlhauser1.8011139113P. Vodal1.919111191LAug 22 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser1.5371151192P. Vodal2.38113116113WAug 22 · 07:55T. Rein3.008970Z. Muhlhauser1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:25A. Jr2.3811740Z. Muhlhauser1.531311113
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