TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13143343
Played Sep 16Finished
Jean-Baptiste Cousin
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210117––––
Christian Kratochvil
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJean-Baptiste Cousin above · Christian Kratochvil below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7
58 points played in total.
H2H Jean-Baptiste Cousin 6–4 Christian Kratochvil Christian Kratochvil has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Cousin beat Kratochvil 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Cousin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cousin form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCousin 1.53 / Kratochvil 2.38
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Cousin)-2.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13143343
Cousin1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 64 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it80% 49 of 61
Kratochvil2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 20 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCousin6wins
AwayKratochvil4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCousin leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCousin100%4 of 4
AwayKratochvil66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cousin4Kratochvil6n = 10Kratochvil took 6 of 10
S2Cousin8Kratochvil2n = 10Cousin took 8 of 10
S3Cousin6Kratochvil4n = 10Cousin took 6 of 10
S4Cousin2Kratochvil2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCousinKratochvilC − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.734.3+3.4per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCousinKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 430 vs 238 / 42453.5%56.1%230 / 430 vs 238 / 424Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CousinCousin 1.53/Kratochvil 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Cousin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cousin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 19:55J. Cousin341211113C. Kratochvil1910630
LJul 18 · 10:03J. Cousin217680C. Kratochvil331111113
LJul 18 · 07:55J. Cousin2981470C. Kratochvil381116113
WJun 21 · 15:50J. Cousin331111113C. Kratochvil153840
WDec 29 · 23:35J. Cousin529111110113C. Kratochvil4011371272
WDec 29 · 22:25J. Cousin442011133C. Kratochvil39189120
WDec 1 · 23:25J. Cousin4341111173C. Kratochvil401177151
WDec 1 · 19:55J. Cousin341211113C. Kratochvil2210480
LOct 21 · 17:45J. Cousin377111271C. Kratochvil4411814113
LOct 21 · 14:40J. Cousin50121181182C. Kratochvil53148119113
J. Cousin10
LSep 16 · 21:25J. Cousin1.5741111992T. Rein2.25119411113WSep 16 · 19:55C. Kratochvil1.8010630J. Cousin1.911211113LSep 16 · 19:25R. Muller1.731112113J. Cousin2.0011030LSep 13 · 17:53J. Cousin2.50331121J. Dohnal1.5011117113WSep 13 · 16:55J. Dohnal1.501110851J. Cousin2.5061211113LSep 13 · 16:25T. Hnizdil1.8011119113J. Cousin1.91751151LSep 13 · 15:25J. Cousin1.73411771P. Vodal2.0011711113WAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113
C. Kratochvil10
WSep 16 · 20:55C. Kratochvil1.6713111143R. Muller2.1011118121LSep 16 · 19:55C. Kratochvil1.8010630J. Cousin1.911211113LSep 16 · 18:55C. Kratochvil1.2841060T. Rein3.501112113LSep 12 · 14:30L. Rek1.85121199113C. Kratochvil1.85109111162WSep 12 · 12:55L. Rek1.73117761C. Kratochvil2.0091111113LSep 12 · 12:25V. Koutnik1.401111511113C. Kratochvil2.7513811322WSep 12 · 11:25C. Kratochvil2.3811156113P. Vodal1.539131171WSep 12 · 10:04C. Kratochvil1.281111113T. Rein3.508940WSep 12 · 08:55T. Rein3.40691261C. Kratochvil1.30111110113WSep 12 · 08:25B. Budik1.50812111192C. Kratochvil2.35111444113
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