TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124992
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Hnizdil
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117115911115––
Jean-Baptiste Cousin
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Hnizdil to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hnizdil above · Jean-Baptiste Cousin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Hnizdil at 55.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hnizdil 3–5 Jean-Baptiste Cousin Tomas Hnizdil has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 13:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hnizdil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Cousin
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hnizdil 1636 vs Cousin 1416
Hnizdil
Correct
both rated, 220 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hnizdil 80% vs Cousin 60%
Hnizdil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hnizdil 70% vs Cousin 40%
Hnizdil
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hnizdil +2 · Cousin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Hnizdil) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hnizdil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHnizdil 1.80 / Cousin 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Hnizdil)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #13124992
Hnizdil1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 46 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Cousin1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 24 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHnizdil3wins
AwayCousin5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderCousin leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHnizdil66.7%2 of 3
AwayCousin80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hnizdil3Cousin5n = 8Cousin took 5 of 8
S2Hnizdil4Cousin4n = 8split evenly
S3Hnizdil4Cousin4n = 8split evenly
S4Hnizdil3Cousin3n = 6split evenly
S5Hnizdil1Cousin2n = 3Cousin took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricHnizdilCousinH − CBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match36.839.0−2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHnizdilCousinBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 244 vs 234 / 43159.8%54.3%146 / 244 vs 234 / 431Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HnizdilHnizdil 1.80/Cousin 1.91
Hit
What we said
54.5%
Hnizdil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hnizdil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WApr 12 · 14:00T. Hnizdil3911411133J. Cousin378117111
LApr 12 · 12:50T. Hnizdil4771181382J. Cousin511171111113
LMar 15 · 12:20T. Hnizdil43111110562J. Cousin46841211113
LJan 31 · 09:55T. Hnizdil248970J. Cousin331111113
LJan 28 · 17:20T. Hnizdil32711591J. Cousin4011711113
LDec 6 · 12:25T. Hnizdil31591161J. Cousin4011117113
WMay 31 · 14:25T. Hnizdil351211123J. Cousin28108100
WMay 31 · 12:55T. Hnizdil43731111113J. Cousin3711114472
T. Hnizdil10
WSep 13 · 14:55J. Dohnal2.20781191T. Hnizdil1.6111117113WSep 11 · 10:30T. Hnizdil1.251211113P. Vodal3.7510870LSep 11 · 08:55V. Koutnik2.501013611123T. Hnizdil1.501211114102WSep 11 · 08:25P. Vodal3.405711111T. Hnizdil1.3011117133WSep 11 · 07:25T. Hnizdil1.6581111123B. Budik2.101178101WSep 9 · 14:00T. Hnizdil1.2791111113F. Dvorak3.30118861LSep 9 · 12:50A. Jr3.751113511113T. Hnizdil1.25131111962WSep 9 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.4011119123T. Jr2.755711101WSep 9 · 10:20F. Dvorak3.2517170T. Hnizdil1.331911113LSep 6 · 14:35T. Hnizdil1.46911781J. Sebl2.5411911113
J. Cousin10
LSep 13 · 15:25J. Cousin1.73411771P. Vodal2.0011711113WAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 18:55M. Boltik1.5381080J. Cousin2.381112113WAug 23 · 13:58V. Koutnik1.8381181192J. Cousin1.83119118113LAug 23 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.91111110113J. Cousin1.80971221LAug 23 · 12:25B. Budik1.761112113J. Cousin1.9051080LAug 23 · 11:25J. Cousin1.801111108102P. Vodal1.91961211123LAug 22 · 13:54A. Jr1.8011116113J. Cousin1.91891181
Upcoming Matches
T. Hnizdil
J. Cousin
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