TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13123784
Played Sep 13Finished
Jean-Baptiste Cousin
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411117711711––
Petr Vodal
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:38 and never touched — 67.1% is still 67.1%
Graded at full timeJean-Baptiste Cousin to win
67.1%
67.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJean-Baptiste Cousin above · Petr Vodal below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jean-Baptiste Cousin at 67.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jean-Baptiste Cousin 31–22 Petr Vodal Petr Vodal has won 22 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Cousin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-22 in 53
Cousin
Wrong
gap of 9 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cousin 1436 vs Vodal 1358
Cousin
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cousin 80% vs Vodal 0%
Cousin
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cousin 40% vs Vodal 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cousin +2 · Vodal -5
Vodal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Cousin) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vodal form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCousin 1.73 / Vodal 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Cousin)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13123784
Cousin1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 64 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it80% 49 of 61
Vodal2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 45 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back33% 18 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCousin4wins
AwayVodal6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVodal leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCousin50%2 of 4
AwayVodal66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cousin4Vodal6n = 10Vodal took 6 of 10
S2Cousin5Vodal5n = 10split evenly
S3Cousin4Vodal6n = 10Vodal took 6 of 10
S4Cousin3Vodal3n = 6split evenly
S5Cousin2Vodal3n = 5Vodal took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricCousinVodalC − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.038.6−2.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCousinVodalBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 438 vs 250 / 49254.1%50.8%237 / 438 vs 250 / 492Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CousinCousin 1.73/Vodal 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Cousin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vodal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 15:20J. Cousin4211681162P. Vodal48811117113
WAug 16 · 13:25J. Cousin46611116123P. Vodal45114911102
WAug 9 · 15:50J. Cousin4211119113P. Vodal36881191
LJul 18 · 08:55J. Cousin247890P. Vodal331111113
WJul 13 · 17:55J. Cousin51911911113P. Vodal4211411882
LJul 13 · 14:50J. Cousin50111011992P. Vodal47712611113
LJun 27 · 17:25J. Cousin1611140P. Vodal351113113
WJun 21 · 17:50J. Cousin331111113P. Vodal218670
LJun 21 · 16:50J. Cousin184860P. Vodal331111113
LJun 19 · 15:20J. Cousin3871112532P. Vodal461131011113
J. Cousin10
WAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 18:55M. Boltik1.5381080J. Cousin2.381112113WAug 23 · 13:58V. Koutnik1.8381181192J. Cousin1.83119118113LAug 23 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.91111110113J. Cousin1.80971221LAug 23 · 12:25B. Budik1.761112113J. Cousin1.9051080LAug 23 · 11:25J. Cousin1.801111108102P. Vodal1.91961211123LAug 22 · 13:54A. Jr1.8011116113J. Cousin1.91891181LAug 22 · 12:55J. Cousin2.102470J. Sebl1.671111113
P. Vodal10
LSep 12 · 14:02V. Koutnik1.5071312113P. Vodal2.4011111081LSep 12 · 13:25P. Vodal2.1012770V. Koutnik1.671411113LSep 12 · 11:55L. Rek1.801111133P. Vodal1.9158110LSep 12 · 11:25C. Kratochvil2.3811156113P. Vodal1.539131171LSep 12 · 10:35P. Vodal2.455890B. Budik1.501111113LSep 12 · 09:25P. Vodal2.101284101B. Budik1.60101111123WSep 12 · 07:55T. Rein2.1071260P. Vodal1.671114113WSep 12 · 07:25C. Kratochvil2.25610110P. Vodal1.571112133LSep 11 · 10:30T. Hnizdil1.251211113P. Vodal3.7510870WAug 23 · 11:25J. Cousin1.801111108102P. Vodal1.91961211123
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