TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139902
Played Sep 16Finished
Jean-Baptiste Cousin
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411119114911911
Tomas Rein
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:05 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeJean-Baptiste Cousin to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJean-Baptiste Cousin above · Tomas Rein below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jean-Baptiste Cousin at 60.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jean-Baptiste Cousin 32–11 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 11 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:05What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Cousin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-11 in 43
Cousin
Wrong
gap of 21 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cousin 1402 vs Rein 1414
Rein
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cousin 40% vs Rein 20%
Cousin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cousin 50% vs Rein 30%
Cousin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cousin +1 · Rein -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Cousin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCousin 1.57 / Rein 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Cousin)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13139902
Cousin1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 64 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it80% 49 of 61
Rein2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 88 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back21% 35 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCousin6wins
AwayRein4wins
Cousin leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCousin83.3%5 of 6
AwayRein75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cousin6Rein4n = 10Cousin took 6 of 10
S2Cousin7Rein3n = 10Cousin took 7 of 10
S3Cousin6Rein4n = 10Cousin took 6 of 10
S4Cousin2Rein3n = 5Rein took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCousinReinC − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.331.0+2.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCousinReinBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 430 vs 389 / 84553.5%46%230 / 430 vs 389 / 845Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CousinCousin 1.57/Rein 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Cousin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rein won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 12:25J. Cousin4213711113T. Rein361111771
LAug 13 · 21:55J. Cousin31114971T. Rein4181111113
LAug 13 · 19:50J. Cousin27511651T. Rein4011711113
WAug 9 · 17:55J. Cousin331111113T. Rein198380
WAug 9 · 16:50J. Cousin45101113113T. Rein361281151
WAug 7 · 18:55J. Cousin331111113T. Rein185490
WAug 6 · 20:50J. Cousin381111163T. Rein2868140
LJul 16 · 21:20J. Cousin199820T. Rein331111113
LJul 16 · 19:20J. Cousin32811581T. Rein4111811113
WJul 13 · 16:20J. Cousin331111113T. Rein186570
J. Cousin10
WSep 16 · 22:09J. Cousin1.531112113C. Kratochvil2.3871070WSep 16 · 19:55C. Kratochvil1.8010630J. Cousin1.911211113LSep 16 · 19:25R. Muller1.731112113J. Cousin2.0011030LSep 13 · 17:53J. Cousin2.50331121J. Dohnal1.5011117113WSep 13 · 16:55J. Dohnal1.501110851J. Cousin2.5061211113LSep 13 · 16:25T. Hnizdil1.8011119113J. Cousin1.91751151LSep 13 · 15:25J. Cousin1.73411771P. Vodal2.0011711113WAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113
T. Rein10
LSep 16 · 20:25T. Rein2.00713891R. Muller1.73111111113WSep 16 · 18:55C. Kratochvil1.2841060T. Rein3.501112113LSep 16 · 13:59V. Koutnik1.6111115113T. Rein2.20951181LSep 16 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.61118711113T. Rein2.2051111572LSep 16 · 12:25F. Dvorak1.331111113T. Rein3.253560LSep 16 · 11:25T. Rein2.25118851S. Holik1.5761111113LSep 15 · 17:50T. Rein2.40920491D. Zelezny1.50111811113WSep 15 · 16:50A. Jr1.835740T. Rein1.831111113WSep 15 · 15:50T. Rein2.7591311113D. Zelezny1.401111941LSep 15 · 14:20T. Jr1.50117911113T. Rein2.5061111692
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