TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13140714
Played Sep 16Finished
Vojtech Koutnik
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119115511118––
Tomas Rein
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingVojtech Koutnik above · Tomas Rein below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8
71 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koutnik 16–8 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Koutnik beat Rein 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Koutnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoutnik 1.61 / Rein 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Koutnik)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13140714
Koutnik1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 38 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it69% 27 of 39
Rein2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 88 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back21% 35 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoutnik7wins
AwayRein3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKoutnik leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoutnik60%3 of 5
AwayRein20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koutnik5Rein5n = 10split evenly
S2Koutnik3Rein7n = 10Rein took 7 of 10
S3Koutnik6Rein4n = 10Koutnik took 6 of 10
S4Koutnik4Rein6n = 10Rein took 6 of 10
S5Koutnik6Rein0n = 6Koutnik took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoutnikReinK − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.943.6+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoutnikReinBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 353 vs 388 / 84447%46%166 / 353 vs 388 / 844Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoutnikKoutnik 1.61/Rein 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Koutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Koutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 09:25V. Koutnik47119115113T. Rein3961161152
WSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik511181110113T. Rein4791181272
WAug 26 · 10:55V. Koutnik44118311113T. Rein4581111872
WAug 20 · 14:04V. Koutnik49791111113T. Rein4311119662
LAug 20 · 12:55V. Koutnik421196161T. Rein4441111183
LAug 16 · 12:55V. Koutnik3811125101T. Rein4471411123
WJul 27 · 18:00V. Koutnik521011119113T. Rein4112781132
LJul 27 · 17:25V. Koutnik3910101451T. Rein47121212113
WJul 21 · 17:25V. Koutnik541214611113T. Rein54141211892
WJul 19 · 06:55V. Koutnik43101111113T. Rein32129921
V. Koutnik10
WSep 16 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.61118711113T. Rein2.2051111572LSep 16 · 11:55V. Koutnik2.2515118362S. Holik1.571381111113LSep 16 · 10:55V. Koutnik1.8311680F. Dvorak1.831311113WSep 12 · 14:02V. Koutnik1.5071312113P. Vodal2.4011111081WSep 12 · 13:25P. Vodal2.1012770V. Koutnik1.671411113WSep 12 · 12:25V. Koutnik1.401111511113C. Kratochvil2.7513811322LSep 12 · 10:55L. Rek1.801112113V. Koutnik1.9191080WSep 11 · 10:00B. Budik1.9581171282V. Koutnik1.751191110113WSep 11 · 08:55V. Koutnik2.501013611123T. Hnizdil1.501211114102LSep 11 · 07:55V. Koutnik1.7181171192B. Budik2.00118119113
T. Rein10
LSep 16 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.61118711113T. Rein2.2051111572LSep 16 · 12:25F. Dvorak1.331111113T. Rein3.253560LSep 16 · 11:25T. Rein2.25118851S. Holik1.5761111113LSep 15 · 17:50T. Rein2.40920491D. Zelezny1.50111811113WSep 15 · 16:50A. Jr1.835740T. Rein1.831111113WSep 15 · 15:50T. Rein2.7591311113D. Zelezny1.401111941LSep 15 · 14:20T. Jr1.50117911113T. Rein2.5061111692LSep 12 · 10:04C. Kratochvil1.281111113T. Rein3.508940LSep 12 · 08:55T. Rein3.40691261C. Kratochvil1.30111110113LSep 12 · 07:55T. Rein2.1071260P. Vodal1.671114113
Upcoming Matches
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T. Rein
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