TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139909
Played Sep 16Finished
Christian Kratochvil
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111012611––––
Tomas Rein
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:05 and never touched — 80.9% is still 80.9%
Graded at full timeChristian Kratochvil to win
80.9%
80.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingChristian Kratochvil above · Tomas Rein below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Christian Kratochvil at 80.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Christian Kratochvil 25–3 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 3 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:05What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kratochvil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-3 in 28
Kratochvil
Wrong
gap of 22 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kratochvil 1504 vs Rein 1407
Kratochvil
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kratochvil 60% vs Rein 0%
Kratochvil
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kratochvil 50% vs Rein 20%
Kratochvil
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kratochvil -1 · Rein -5
Rein
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Kratochvil) · live re-read · sealed at 81% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 1.28 / Rein 3.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Kratochvil)+6.3pp
TT Cup · #13139909
Kratochvil1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 64 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it83% 49 of 59
Rein3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 88 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back21% 35 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKratochvil10wins
AwayRein0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKratochvil leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKratochvil100%9 of 9
AwayReinn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kratochvil9Rein1n = 10Kratochvil took 9 of 10
S2Kratochvil7Rein3n = 10Kratochvil took 7 of 10
S3Kratochvil7Rein3n = 10Kratochvil took 7 of 10
S4Kratochvil6Rein1n = 7Kratochvil took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKratochvilReinK − RBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.532.1+8.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilReinBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 426 vs 388 / 84556.1%45.9%239 / 426 vs 388 / 845Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KratochvilKratochvil 1.28/Rein 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Kratochvil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rein won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 10:04C. Kratochvil331111113T. Rein218940
WSep 12 · 08:55C. Kratochvil43111110113T. Rein33691261
WMay 16 · 17:25C. Kratochvil4011414113T. Rein379111251
WApr 9 · 12:55C. Kratochvil331111113T. Rein166550
WMar 31 · 10:50C. Kratochvil3911116113T. Rein33591181
WNov 10 · 15:20C. Kratochvil4311127133T. Rein3641011111
WNov 10 · 12:10C. Kratochvil43101111113T. Rein31127481
WNov 3 · 12:25C. Kratochvil551151414113T. Rein53911121652
WOct 28 · 23:20C. Kratochvil351111133T. Rein2696110
WOct 28 · 20:40C. Kratochvil4112711113T. Rein351011591
C. Kratochvil10
LSep 16 · 19:55C. Kratochvil1.8010630J. Cousin1.911211113LSep 12 · 14:30L. Rek1.85121199113C. Kratochvil1.85109111162WSep 12 · 12:55L. Rek1.73117761C. Kratochvil2.0091111113LSep 12 · 12:25V. Koutnik1.401111511113C. Kratochvil2.7513811322WSep 12 · 11:25C. Kratochvil2.3811156113P. Vodal1.539131171WSep 12 · 10:04C. Kratochvil1.281111113T. Rein3.508940WSep 12 · 08:55T. Rein3.40691261C. Kratochvil1.30111110113WSep 12 · 08:25B. Budik1.50812111192C. Kratochvil2.35111444113LSep 12 · 07:25C. Kratochvil2.25610110P. Vodal1.571112133LSep 8 · 17:55J. Osmera1.7391111113C. Kratochvil2.00116781
T. Rein10
LSep 16 · 13:59V. Koutnik1.6111115113T. Rein2.20951181LSep 16 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.61118711113T. Rein2.2051111572LSep 16 · 12:25F. Dvorak1.331111113T. Rein3.253560LSep 16 · 11:25T. Rein2.25118851S. Holik1.5761111113LSep 15 · 17:50T. Rein2.40920491D. Zelezny1.50111811113WSep 15 · 16:50A. Jr1.835740T. Rein1.831111113WSep 15 · 15:50T. Rein2.7591311113D. Zelezny1.401111941LSep 15 · 14:20T. Jr1.50117911113T. Rein2.5061111692LSep 12 · 10:04C. Kratochvil1.281111113T. Rein3.508940LSep 12 · 08:55T. Rein3.40691261C. Kratochvil1.30111110113
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