TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125895
Played Sep 13Finished
Jean-Baptiste Cousin
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311311117211––
Jaroslav Dohnal
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingJean-Baptiste Cousin above · Jaroslav Dohnal below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 59 set 4, 2-11
59 points played in total.
H2H Jean-Baptiste Cousin 15–33 Jaroslav Dohnal Jean-Baptiste Cousin has won 15 of their 48 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Cousin beat Dohnal 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dohnal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dohnal form (0%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCousin 2.50 / Dohnal 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Dohnal)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13125895
Cousin2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 24 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Dohnal1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 117 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it92% 59 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it70% 83 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCousin3wins
AwayDohnal7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDohnal leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCousin20%1 of 5
AwayDohnal60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cousin5Dohnal5n = 10split evenly
S2Cousin7Dohnal3n = 10Cousin took 7 of 10
S3Cousin4Dohnal6n = 10Dohnal took 6 of 10
S4Cousin5Dohnal5n = 10split evenly
S5Cousin0Dohnal5n = 5Dohnal took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCousinDohnalC − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.341.5−1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCousinDohnalBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 433 vs 403 / 68154.3%59.2%235 / 433 vs 403 / 681Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DohnalCousin 2.50/Dohnal 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Dohnal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dohnal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 16:55J. Cousin4061211113J. Dohnal341110851
WAug 13 · 20:20J. Cousin4011711113J. Dohnal28611381
LJul 19 · 12:55J. Cousin31711581J. Dohnal3911611113
LJul 18 · 06:55J. Cousin35611991J. Dohnal3911611113
LJul 16 · 18:20J. Cousin3311113352J. Dohnal48871111113
LJul 10 · 20:50J. Cousin4712871192J. Dohnal491011116113
WJul 7 · 20:20J. Cousin3741111113J. Dohnal30114871
LJul 3 · 18:55J. Cousin50131171182J. Dohnal49159113113
LJul 2 · 22:10J. Cousin4712811882J. Dohnal481011511113
LJul 2 · 20:55J. Cousin4311115972J. Dohnal51991111113
J. Cousin10
WSep 13 · 16:55J. Dohnal1.501110851J. Cousin2.5061211113LSep 13 · 16:25T. Hnizdil1.8011119113J. Cousin1.91751151LSep 13 · 15:25J. Cousin1.73411771P. Vodal2.0011711113WAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 18:55M. Boltik1.5381080J. Cousin2.381112113WAug 23 · 13:58V. Koutnik1.8381181192J. Cousin1.83119118113LAug 23 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.91111110113J. Cousin1.80971221LAug 23 · 12:25B. Budik1.761112113J. Cousin1.9051080
J. Dohnal10
LSep 13 · 16:55J. Dohnal1.501110851J. Cousin2.5061211113LSep 13 · 15:55J. Dohnal1.839111121P. Vodal1.8311138113LSep 13 · 14:55J. Dohnal2.20781191T. Hnizdil1.6111117113LSep 12 · 22:30J. Sebl2.25111011113J. Dohnal1.57812961LSep 12 · 20:55M. Boltik2.10111257123J. Dohnal1.678101111102LSep 12 · 20:25J. Sebl2.7561111133J. Dohnal1.401196111WSep 12 · 19:25J. Dohnal1.67101111113D. Zelezny2.10129891WSep 8 · 21:48J. Dohnal1.611111113T. Rein2.205870WSep 8 · 20:50B. Budik1.75781261J. Dohnal1.95111110113WSep 8 · 19:50J. Dohnal1.611111113L. Jirka2.209570
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