TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13156455
Played Sep 18Finished
Christian Kratochvil
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
71112141214––––
Zdenek Muhlhauser
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingChristian Kratochvil above · Zdenek Muhlhauser below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 70 set 3, 12-14
70 points played in total.
H2H Christian Kratochvil 2–2 Zdenek Muhlhauser Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kratochvil beat Muhlhauser 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Muhlhauser)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Muhlhauser form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 2.00 / Muhlhauser 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Muhlhauser)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13156455
Kratochvil2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog51% won 20 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Muhlhauser1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 22 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKratochvil2wins
AwayMuhlhauser2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kratochvil2Muhlhauser2n = 4split evenly
S2Kratochvil2Muhlhauser2n = 4split evenly
S3Kratochvil2Muhlhauser2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKratochvilMuhlhauserK − MBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match37.836.0+1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilMuhlhauserBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 428 vs 57 / 11455.8%50%239 / 428 vs 57 / 114Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuhlhauserKratochvil 2.00/Muhlhauser 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Muhlhauser · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Muhlhauser won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 18 · 20:55C. Kratochvil4181111113Z. Muhlhauser26115461
LJun 7 · 12:55C. Kratochvil501110811102Z. Muhlhauser49812116123
WMay 31 · 15:25C. Kratochvil421516113Z. Muhlhauser36131490
LMay 16 · 11:25C. Kratochvil185670Z. Muhlhauser331111113
C. Kratochvil10
WSep 18 · 20:55Z. Muhlhauser1.73115461C. Kratochvil2.0081111113LSep 18 · 20:25J. Cousin1.50101111113C. Kratochvil2.50127991LSep 18 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.25101080M. Boltik1.571212113LSep 16 · 22:09J. Cousin1.531112113C. Kratochvil2.3871070WSep 16 · 20:55C. Kratochvil1.6713111143R. Muller2.1011118121LSep 16 · 19:55C. Kratochvil1.8010630J. Cousin1.911211113LSep 16 · 18:55C. Kratochvil1.2841060T. Rein3.501112113LSep 12 · 14:30L. Rek1.85121199113C. Kratochvil1.85109111162WSep 12 · 12:55L. Rek1.73117761C. Kratochvil2.0091111113LSep 12 · 12:25V. Koutnik1.401111511113C. Kratochvil2.7513811322
Z. Muhlhauser10
LSep 18 · 20:55Z. Muhlhauser1.73115461C. Kratochvil2.0081111113LSep 18 · 19:55Z. Muhlhauser1.736118101M. Boltik2.0011911123LSep 18 · 18:55Z. Muhlhauser1.7320990J. Cousin2.002211113WAug 22 · 10:33Z. Muhlhauser1.8011139113P. Vodal1.919111191LAug 22 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser1.5371151192P. Vodal2.38113116113WAug 22 · 07:55T. Rein3.008970Z. Muhlhauser1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:25A. Jr2.3811740Z. Muhlhauser1.531311113WAug 15 · 14:35O. Knazik2.20167111162Z. Muhlhauser1.61181137113WAug 15 · 12:55J. Dohnal2.3811114842Z. Muhlhauser1.53661111113WAug 15 · 12:25P. Vodal1.579650Z. Muhlhauser2.251111113
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