TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152642
Played Sep 18Finished
Zdenek Muhlhauser
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118511411611––
Christian Kratochvil
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:43 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeZdenek Muhlhauser to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZdenek Muhlhauser above · Christian Kratochvil below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 67 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Zdenek Muhlhauser at 64.7%
67 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Muhlhauser 2–1 Christian Kratochvil Christian Kratochvil has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Muhlhauser
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Muhlhauser 1538 vs Kratochvil 1423
Muhlhauser
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Muhlhauser 40% vs Kratochvil 20%
Muhlhauser
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Muhlhauser 60% vs Kratochvil 30%
Muhlhauser
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Muhlhauser -2 · Kratochvil -3
Kratochvil
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Muhlhauser) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kratochvil form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuhlhauser 1.73 / Kratochvil 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Muhlhauser)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13152642
Muhlhauser1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 22 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Kratochvil2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 20 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMuhlhauser2wins
AwayKratochvil1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMuhlhauser leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Muhlhauser1Kratochvil2n = 3Kratochvil took 2 of 3
S2Muhlhauser2Kratochvil1n = 3Muhlhauser took 2 of 3
S3Muhlhauser2Kratochvil1n = 3Muhlhauser took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMuhlhauserKratochvilM − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match39.336.7+2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMuhlhauserKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 113 vs 238 / 42750.4%55.7%57 / 113 vs 238 / 427Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuhlhauserMuhlhauser 1.73/Kratochvil 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Muhlhauser · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kratochvil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJun 7 · 12:55Z. Muhlhauser49812116123C. Kratochvil501110811102
LMay 31 · 15:25Z. Muhlhauser36131490C. Kratochvil421516113
WMay 16 · 11:25Z. Muhlhauser331111113C. Kratochvil185670
Z. Muhlhauser10
LSep 18 · 19:55Z. Muhlhauser1.736118101M. Boltik2.0011911123LSep 18 · 18:55Z. Muhlhauser1.7320990J. Cousin2.002211113WAug 22 · 10:33Z. Muhlhauser1.8011139113P. Vodal1.919111191LAug 22 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser1.5371151192P. Vodal2.38113116113WAug 22 · 07:55T. Rein3.008970Z. Muhlhauser1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:25A. Jr2.3811740Z. Muhlhauser1.531311113WAug 15 · 14:35O. Knazik2.20167111162Z. Muhlhauser1.61181137113WAug 15 · 12:55J. Dohnal2.3811114842Z. Muhlhauser1.53661111113WAug 15 · 12:25P. Vodal1.579650Z. Muhlhauser2.251111113LAug 15 · 11:25Z. Muhlhauser1.4439121282O. Knazik2.6311111010113
C. Kratochvil10
LSep 18 · 20:25J. Cousin1.50101111113C. Kratochvil2.50127991LSep 18 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.25101080M. Boltik1.571212113LSep 16 · 22:09J. Cousin1.531112113C. Kratochvil2.3871070WSep 16 · 20:55C. Kratochvil1.6713111143R. Muller2.1011118121LSep 16 · 19:55C. Kratochvil1.8010630J. Cousin1.911211113LSep 16 · 18:55C. Kratochvil1.2841060T. Rein3.501112113LSep 12 · 14:30L. Rek1.85121199113C. Kratochvil1.85109111162WSep 12 · 12:55L. Rek1.73117761C. Kratochvil2.0091111113LSep 12 · 12:25V. Koutnik1.401111511113C. Kratochvil2.7513811322WSep 12 · 11:25C. Kratochvil2.3811156113P. Vodal1.539131171
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