TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13160702
Played Sep 19Finished
Jean-Baptiste Cousin
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3111012311––––
Christian Kratochvil
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJean-Baptiste Cousin above · Christian Kratochvil below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 50 set 3, 3-11
50 points played in total.
H2H Jean-Baptiste Cousin 9–4 Christian Kratochvil Christian Kratochvil has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Cousin beat Kratochvil 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Cousin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cousin form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCousin 1.65 / Kratochvil 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Cousin)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13160702
Cousin1.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 66 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it81% 50 of 62
Kratochvil2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 20 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back32% 7 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCousin8wins
AwayKratochvil2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderCousin leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCousin100%5 of 5
AwayKratochvil40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cousin5Kratochvil5n = 10split evenly
S2Cousin8Kratochvil2n = 10Cousin took 8 of 10
S3Cousin7Kratochvil3n = 10Cousin took 7 of 10
S4Cousin3Kratochvil1n = 4Cousin took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCousinKratochvilC − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.631.6+6.0per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCousinKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 432 vs 240 / 43253.7%55.6%232 / 432 vs 240 / 432Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CousinCousin 1.65/Kratochvil 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Cousin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kratochvil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 16:55J. Cousin4211119113C. Kratochvil31741191
WSep 18 · 20:25J. Cousin43101111113C. Kratochvil37127991
WSep 16 · 22:09J. Cousin341112113C. Kratochvil2471070
WSep 16 · 19:55J. Cousin341211113C. Kratochvil1910630
LJul 18 · 10:03J. Cousin217680C. Kratochvil331111113
LJul 18 · 07:55J. Cousin2981470C. Kratochvil381116113
WJun 21 · 15:50J. Cousin331111113C. Kratochvil153840
WDec 29 · 23:35J. Cousin529111110113C. Kratochvil4011371272
WDec 29 · 22:25J. Cousin452011143C. Kratochvil39189120
WDec 1 · 23:25J. Cousin4341111173C. Kratochvil401177151
J. Cousin10
WSep 19 · 16:55J. Cousin1.5011119113C. Kratochvil2.50741191LSep 19 · 15:55J. Cousin1.4451113972A. Jr2.631191111113LSep 19 · 14:55J. Cousin1.9151150V. Koutnik1.801113113WSep 18 · 22:30M. Boltik1.65610131162J. Cousin2.101112116113LSep 18 · 21:25M. Boltik1.7313911113J. Cousin2.001111661WSep 18 · 20:25J. Cousin1.50101111113C. Kratochvil2.50127991WSep 18 · 18:55Z. Muhlhauser1.7320990J. Cousin2.002211113WSep 16 · 22:09J. Cousin1.531112113C. Kratochvil2.3871070LSep 16 · 21:25J. Cousin1.5741111992T. Rein2.25119411113WSep 16 · 19:55C. Kratochvil1.8010630J. Cousin1.911211113
C. Kratochvil10
LSep 19 · 16:55J. Cousin1.5011119113C. Kratochvil2.50741191LSep 19 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.4411711113C. Kratochvil2.63911951WSep 19 · 15:25C. Kratochvil1.73129118113A. Jr2.00101181192LSep 18 · 21:58C. Kratochvil2.00712120Z. Muhlhauser1.731114143WSep 18 · 20:55Z. Muhlhauser1.73115461C. Kratochvil2.0081111113LSep 18 · 20:25J. Cousin1.50101111113C. Kratochvil2.50127991LSep 18 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.25101080M. Boltik1.571212113LSep 16 · 22:09J. Cousin1.531112113C. Kratochvil2.3871070WSep 16 · 20:55C. Kratochvil1.6713111143R. Muller2.1011118121LSep 16 · 19:55C. Kratochvil1.8010630J. Cousin1.911211113
Upcoming Matches
J. Cousin
Nothing scheduled
C. Kratochvil
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