TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleh Stopin
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711511––––
Yevhenii Korotin
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Korotin to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Stopin above · Yevhenii Korotin below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 56 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Yevhenii Korotin at 64.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Stopin 4–7 Yevhenii Korotin Oleh Stopin has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Korotin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Korotin
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stopin 1202 vs Korotin 1296
Korotin
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stopin 40% vs Korotin 80%
Korotin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stopin 50% vs Korotin 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stopin -1 · Korotin +4
Korotin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Korotin) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStopin 2.75 / Korotin 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Korotin)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13161842
Stopin2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 15 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Korotin1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 11 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStopin4wins
AwayKorotin6wins
Korotin leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStopin33.3%1 of 3
AwayKorotin57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stopin3Korotin7n = 10Korotin took 7 of 10
S2Stopin5Korotin5n = 10split evenly
S3Stopin4Korotin6n = 10Korotin took 6 of 10
S4Stopin4Korotin3n = 7Stopin took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStopinKorotinS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.138.2−2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStopinKorotinBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 276 vs 102 / 20852.5%49%145 / 276 vs 102 / 208Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorotinStopin 2.75/Korotin 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Korotin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 23 · 10:05O. Stopin29118641Y. Korotin4181111113
LMar 29 · 17:10O. Stopin3189140Y. Korotin381111163
LMar 22 · 18:10O. Stopin378118101Y. Korotin4311911123
LMar 13 · 10:30O. Stopin196580Y. Korotin331111113
WMar 8 · 16:10O. Stopin49101113153Y. Korotin4312711131
WJan 1 · 16:10O. Stopin44101111123Y. Korotin341275101
LDec 7 · 11:40O. Stopin33861271Y. Korotin43111110113
WNov 23 · 11:40O. Stopin4291111113Y. Korotin33116791
WOct 12 · 16:10O. Stopin4111118113Y. Korotin36791191
O. Stopin10
LSep 20 · 16:40V. Varchenko2.20121311113O. Stopin1.611411351WSep 20 · 14:40O. Stopin1.6511102S. Kovalenko2.05480LSep 20 · 13:10O. Stopin3.001174111V. Kondratenko1.3671111133WSep 20 · 11:10O. Stopin1.501111113V. Mykhalchenko2.507360LSep 19 · 12:20O. Stopin2.10911116132D. Khavanskyi1.67113511153LSep 19 · 10:20V. Stukalov1.5711118133O. Stopin2.258811111WSep 19 · 09:20O. Stopin1.831111113V. Varchenko1.836880LSep 19 · 08:20V. Mykhalchenko3.001111113O. Stopin1.364580WSep 19 · 06:50O. Stopin2.631211113V. Kucheriavyi1.4410680WSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112
Y. Korotin10
WSep 20 · 13:40V. Varchenko2.254450Y. Korotin1.57111163WSep 20 · 12:40Y. Korotin1.50118118143S. Kovalenko2.50511711122WSep 20 · 11:40V. Kondratenko1.8311711592Y. Korotin1.83711811113WSep 16 · 10:20Y. Korotin2.201111113V. Kondratenko1.615560LSep 16 · 08:50Y. Korotin1.7388131192S. Semenets2.001111118113LSep 16 · 07:20Y. Korotin2.2511391262S. Hovorunets1.578111110113LSep 16 · 05:50Y. Korotin1.831351181D. Khavanskyi1.8315116113WSep 15 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.44111178133O. Miklukha2.63881111112LSep 15 · 15:10Y. Korotin1.911051171V. Stukalov1.8012117113WSep 15 · 13:40Y. Korotin2.75138911123S. Hovorunets1.401111118102
Upcoming Matches
O. Stopin
Nothing scheduled
Y. Korotin
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