TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Ondrej Polak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116118––––
Stepan Vyskocil
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Polak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Polak above · Stepan Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Ondrej Polak at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Polak 6–4 Stepan Vyskocil Stepan Vyskocil has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:43What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Polak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Polak
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polak 1717 vs Vyskocil 1679
Polak
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polak 40% vs Vyskocil 80%
Vyskocil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polak 70% vs Vyskocil 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polak -1 · Vyskocil +4
Vyskocil
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolak 1.80 / Vyskocil 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Polak)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13161283
Polak1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 29 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Vyskocil1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 11 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolak6wins
AwayVyskocil4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPolak leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolak75%6 of 8
AwayVyskociln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polak8Vyskocil2n = 10Polak took 8 of 10
S2Polak5Vyskocil5n = 10split evenly
S3Polak7Vyskocil3n = 10Polak took 7 of 10
S4Polak4Vyskocil4n = 8split evenly
S5Polak1Vyskocil3n = 4Vyskocil took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolakVyskocilP − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.937.1+4.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolakVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 155 vs 103 / 18557.4%55.7%89 / 155 vs 103 / 185Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolakPolak 1.80/Vyskocil 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Polak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Polak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 13 · 10:05O. Polak3911116113S. Vyskocil30681151
LJun 10 · 13:45O. Polak4211711582S. Vyskocil47911511113
WJun 10 · 10:05O. Polak351112123S. Vyskocil26610100
LJun 3 · 13:35O. Polak31712481S. Vyskocil43111011113
WJun 3 · 11:05O. Polak43111011113S. Vyskocil26712431
WJun 2 · 14:35O. Polak511110118113S. Vyskocil3971251142
WJun 2 · 13:35O. Polak341211113S. Vyskocil2010730
LJun 2 · 12:05O. Polak51713111192S. Vyskocil52111578113
LMay 26 · 12:05O. Polak4611126892S. Vyskocil518101111113
WDec 7 · 16:05O. Polak47111411113S. Vyskocil37616691
O. Polak10
LSep 20 · 07:05O. Polak1.5710770T. Trnka2.251211113WSep 20 · 06:05O. Polak1.401111113J. Ruzicka2.757790LSep 19 · 17:43A. Veliiev1.801311113O. Polak1.9111250LSep 19 · 16:35A. Veliiev2.639111110113O. Polak1.4411741252WSep 19 · 15:35O. Polak1.611111113M. Mastera2.206960WSep 19 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.80811671O. Polak1.9111811113WSep 18 · 13:33O. Polak1.83971111113T. Bartik1.8311117772WSep 18 · 12:35J. Ruzicka1.837480O. Polak1.831111113WSep 18 · 11:35O. Polak2.38111110113F. Karel1.53581281WSep 18 · 10:05T. Bartik1.671110691O. Polak2.1071211113
S. Vyskocil10
WSep 20 · 07:35J. Ruzicka1.9111911962S. Vyskocil1.80811711113WSep 20 · 06:35S. Vyskocil2.6311123113T. Trnka1.447101191WAug 26 · 13:35S. Vyskocil1.6111811123R. Fitl2.208119101WAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113WAug 26 · 11:35R. Fitl2.2571451262S. Vyskocil1.5711121110113LAug 26 · 10:35S. Vyskocil1.61101181232M. Holub2.201281110113WAug 25 · 17:40S. Vyskocil1.83114127113J. Muska1.83711101192LAug 25 · 16:35S. Vyskocil1.616101681P. Chvatal2.20111214113WAug 25 · 15:05J. Muska1.5381111692S. Vyskocil2.38117911113WAug 25 · 14:35J. Hanak1.807960S. Vyskocil1.911111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Polak
S. Vyskocil
Nothing scheduled
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