TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Stepan Vyskocil
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171210311119––
Tomas Trnka
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Trnka to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStepan Vyskocil above · Tomas Trnka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Trnka at 60.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Vyskocil 4–1 Tomas Trnka Tomas Trnka has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Trnka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Vyskocil
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1689 vs Trnka 1598
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 80% vs Trnka 20%
Vyskocil
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 80% vs Trnka 20%
Vyskocil
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil +3 · Trnka +1
Vyskocil
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Trnka) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trnka form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 2.63 / Trnka 1.44
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Trnka)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13161290
Vyskocil2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 25 days ago (Aug 26) · back after a break
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 11 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Trnka1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 59 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it82% 44 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVyskocil4wins
AwayTrnka1wins
Vyskocil leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil100%4 of 4
AwayTrnkan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil4Trnka1n = 5Vyskocil took 4 of 5
S2Vyskocil4Trnka1n = 5Vyskocil took 4 of 5
S3Vyskocil2Trnka3n = 5Trnka took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricVyskocilTrnkaV − TBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match33.427.8+5.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilTrnkaBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 186 vs 142 / 27555.9%51.6%104 / 186 vs 142 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrnkaVyskocil 2.63/Trnka 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Trnka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 20 · 06:35S. Vyskocil3711123113T. Trnka377101191
LJul 7 · 20:05S. Vyskocil238780T. Trnka331111113
WMay 27 · 14:05S. Vyskocil331111113T. Trnka132290
WDec 9 · 15:35S. Vyskocil4011116123T. Trnka335711101
WDec 7 · 15:35S. Vyskocil341112113T. Trnka2371060
S. Vyskocil10
WSep 20 · 07:35J. Ruzicka1.9111911962S. Vyskocil1.80811711113WAug 26 · 13:35S. Vyskocil1.6111811123R. Fitl2.208119101WAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113WAug 26 · 11:35R. Fitl2.2571451262S. Vyskocil1.5711121110113LAug 26 · 10:35S. Vyskocil1.61101181232M. Holub2.201281110113WAug 25 · 17:40S. Vyskocil1.83114127113J. Muska1.83711101192LAug 25 · 16:35S. Vyskocil1.616101681P. Chvatal2.20111214113WAug 25 · 15:05J. Muska1.5381111692S. Vyskocil2.38117911113WAug 25 · 14:35J. Hanak1.807960S. Vyskocil1.911111113WAug 24 · 13:43S. Vyskocil1.50911167113R. Neterda2.50118141162
T. Trnka10
WSep 20 · 07:05O. Polak1.5710770T. Trnka2.251211113WSep 17 · 21:05J. Ruzicka—1110118122T. Trnka—912711143LSep 17 · 20:35O. Stehlik1.501111113T. Trnka2.507860LSep 17 · 19:35T. Trnka2.001113111192J. Ruzicka1.73715413113LSep 17 · 18:05T. Bartik1.40111187113T. Trnka2.7597111192LSep 14 · 17:10T. Beran2.75811119113T. Trnka1.4011871172LSep 14 · 16:35T. Beran2.6311711123T. Trnka1.447118101LSep 14 · 15:35T. Trnka3.0011123772M. Kucera1.364101111113WSep 14 · 14:05T. Bartik1.408111110102T. Trnka2.75118712123LSep 6 · 17:18T. Trnka2.256911121F. Karel1.5711118143
Upcoming Matches
S. Vyskocil
Nothing scheduled
T. Trnka
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