TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13159649
Played Sep 19Finished
Anastasiia Volgina
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1191012811411––
Olena Bondareva
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:36 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnastasiia Volgina above · Olena Bondareva below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 76 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 63.6%
76 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Volgina 29–33 Olena Bondareva Anastasiia Volgina has won 29 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:36What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Volgina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-33 in 62
Bondareva
Correct
gap of 4 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volgina 1597 vs Bondareva 1391
Volgina
Wrong
both rated, 207 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volgina 60% vs Bondareva 0%
Volgina
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volgina 50% vs Bondareva 20%
Volgina
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volgina +1 · Bondareva -5
Bondareva
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Volgina) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondareva form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolgina 1.53 / Bondareva 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Volgina)+0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13159649
Volgina1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 107 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it98% 60 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it89% 74 of 83
Bondareva2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 24 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolgina6wins
AwayBondareva4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVolgina leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolgina66.7%4 of 6
AwayBondareva50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volgina6Bondareva4n = 10Volgina took 6 of 10
S2Volgina4Bondareva6n = 10Bondareva took 6 of 10
S3Volgina8Bondareva2n = 10Volgina took 8 of 10
S4Volgina2Bondareva4n = 6Bondareva took 4 of 6
S5Volgina3Bondareva1n = 4Volgina took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolginaBondarevaV − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.334.8+4.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolginaBondarevaBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 621 vs 113 / 28956.4%39.1%350 / 621 vs 113 / 289Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.235.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaVolgina 1.53/Bondareva 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bondareva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 14 · 16:05A. Volgina331111113O. Bondareva197570
WJul 10 · 16:05A. Volgina51991111113O. Bondareva3811118532
WJul 3 · 17:05A. Volgina331111113O. Bondareva186660
LJun 28 · 15:05A. Volgina521111135122O. Bondareva578131111143
WJun 26 · 15:05A. Volgina521191110113O. Bondareva4491151272
WJun 20 · 16:05A. Volgina331111113O. Bondareva184680
WJun 14 · 16:05A. Volgina47912114113O. Bondareva44111061162
LMay 30 · 14:05A. Volgina37119981O. Bondareva4291111113
LMay 9 · 05:55A. Volgina168440O. Bondareva331111113
A. Volgina10
WSep 19 · 15:05A. Lapa2.509750A. Volgina1.501111113LSep 19 · 13:35A. Volgina1.834990O. Ivchenko1.831111113LSep 12 · 19:05A. Volgina1.8011881292V. Shevchuk1.918111110113WSep 12 · 17:05A. Gorchakova3.0081411141A. Volgina1.3611167163WSep 12 · 16:05A. Volgina1.8311811113M. Gordeets1.83811741WSep 12 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25119131082A. Volgina1.33811111293LSep 12 · 13:35A. Volgina1.91143791O. Ivchenko1.80121111113LSep 10 · 19:35A. Volgina1.67115961V. Shevchuk2.1051111113WSep 10 · 17:35Y. Severina2.751169111A. Volgina1.4091111133LSep 10 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75169411133A. Volgina1.401411115112
O. Bondareva10
LSep 19 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.28611812113O. Bondareva3.50115111072LSep 19 · 13:05A. Lapa1.3312311113O. Bondareva3.251011741LSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100LSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123LAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 14:05O. Bondareva4.00127591O. Ivchenko1.22101111113LAug 29 · 12:35O. Bondareva4.00111144152M. Gordeets1.22881111173LAug 20 · 19:05O. Bondareva3.50881231A. Gorchakova1.28111110113
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