TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13116578
Played Sep 12Finished
Anna Gorchakova
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81114161171416––
Anastasiia Volgina
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Gorchakova above · Anastasiia Volgina below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 14-16
Point 97 set 4, 14-16 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 67.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Anna Gorchakova 23–42 Anastasiia Volgina Anna Gorchakova has won 23 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Volgina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-42 in 65
Volgina
Correct
gap of 19 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gorchakova 1563 vs Volgina 1626
Volgina
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gorchakova 40% vs Volgina 60%
Volgina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gorchakova 60% vs Volgina 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gorchakova +1 · Volgina +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Volgina) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volgina form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGorchakova 3.00 / Volgina 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Volgina)+1.2pp
Setka Cup Women · #13116578
Gorchakova3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Volgina1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGorchakova3wins
AwayVolgina7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVolgina leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGorchakova40%2 of 5
AwayVolgina80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gorchakova5Volgina5n = 10split evenly
S2Gorchakova2Volgina8n = 10Volgina took 8 of 10
S3Gorchakova2Volgina8n = 10Volgina took 8 of 10
S4Gorchakova3Volgina4n = 7Volgina took 4 of 7
S5Gorchakova2Volgina1n = 3Gorchakova took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGorchakovaVolginaG − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.441.9−6.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGorchakovaVolginaBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 432 vs 360 / 63846.3%56.4%200 / 432 vs 360 / 638Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaGorchakova 3.00/Volgina 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Volgina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 15:35A. Gorchakova53169411133A. Volgina521411115112
LSep 5 · 19:05A. Gorchakova351110861A. Volgina4391211113
WSep 4 · 14:35A. Gorchakova49961111123A. Volgina49111189102
LAug 30 · 16:05A. Gorchakova3611113562A. Volgina50891111113
LAug 23 · 12:35A. Gorchakova357711101A. Volgina4111117123
LAug 22 · 17:35A. Gorchakova2391130A. Volgina351113113
WAug 16 · 18:05A. Gorchakova4211119113A. Volgina37991181
LAug 14 · 14:05A. Gorchakova226790A. Volgina331111113
LAug 7 · 14:05A. Gorchakova34148571A. Volgina45121111113
LJul 26 · 14:35A. Gorchakova2571080A. Volgina341112113
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 12 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75113119123O. Ivchenko1.40811511102LSep 12 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.759700M. Gordeets1.25111113LSep 12 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.75131511852V. Shevchuk1.251117511113WSep 10 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3311911113Y. Severina3.25511831LSep 10 · 17:05A. Gorchakova2.6311114572K. Bondarenko1.44971111113WSep 10 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75169411133A. Volgina1.401411115112LSep 10 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.75971161V. Shevchuk1.2511117113WSep 10 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.5012132113M. Gordeets1.2810111171WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172
A. Volgina10
WSep 12 · 16:05A. Volgina1.8311811113M. Gordeets1.83811741WSep 12 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25119131082A. Volgina1.33811111293LSep 12 · 13:35A. Volgina1.91143791O. Ivchenko1.80121111113LSep 10 · 19:35A. Volgina1.67115961V. Shevchuk2.1051111113WSep 10 · 17:35Y. Severina2.751169111A. Volgina1.4091111133LSep 10 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75169411133A. Volgina1.401411115112WSep 10 · 14:35A. Volgina1.801311113M. Gordeets1.9111690LSep 10 · 13:35K. Bondarenko1.611112113A. Volgina2.2071070WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112
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