TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13155469
Played Sep 19Finished
Anna Lapa
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711511––––
Anastasiia Volgina
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Lapa above · Anastasiia Volgina below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 54 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 60.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Anna Lapa 47–58 Anastasiia Volgina Anna Lapa has won 47 of their 105 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Volgina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-58 in 105
Volgina
Correct
gap of 11 in 105, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lapa 1472 vs Volgina 1573
Volgina
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lapa 40% vs Volgina 60%
Volgina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lapa 30% vs Volgina 50%
Volgina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lapa +1 · Volgina -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Volgina) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLapa 2.50 / Volgina 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Volgina)+0.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13155469
Lapa2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 36 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 40
Volgina1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 107 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it98% 60 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it89% 74 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLapa1wins
AwayVolgina9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVolgina leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLapa16.7%1 of 6
AwayVolgina100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lapa6Volgina4n = 10Lapa took 6 of 10
S2Lapa2Volgina8n = 10Volgina took 8 of 10
S3Lapa3Volgina7n = 10Volgina took 7 of 10
S4Lapa0Volgina7n = 7Volgina took 7 of 7
S5Lapa1Volgina3n = 4Volgina took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLapaVolginaL − VBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.241.9−5.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLapaVolginaBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 463 vs 350 / 62151%56.4%236 / 463 vs 350 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaLapa 2.50/Volgina 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Volgina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa331071151A. Volgina4012116113
LAug 30 · 13:05A. Lapa4411138392A. Volgina506111111113
LAug 16 · 14:05A. Lapa225890A. Volgina331111113
WAug 14 · 13:05A. Lapa541191211113A. Volgina48611101382
LAug 7 · 16:05A. Lapa32117771A. Volgina4181111113
LJul 31 · 13:05A. Lapa36119791A. Volgina4071111113
LJul 26 · 15:35A. Lapa239770A. Volgina331111113
LJul 24 · 16:35A. Lapa27106110A. Volgina361211133
LJul 19 · 13:05A. Lapa4311143872A. Volgina516121111113
LJul 3 · 15:05A. Lapa4811811992A. Volgina47911511113
A. Lapa10
WSep 19 · 13:05A. Lapa1.3312311113O. Bondareva3.251011741LSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102LSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113LSep 4 · 16:35A. Lapa2.2010870A. Gorchakova1.611211113WSep 4 · 15:05A. Lapa1.4017811113K. Tymchenko2.751511481WSep 4 · 13:05A. Lapa2.2011611133M. Gordeets1.618116111LAug 30 · 18:35K. Tymchenko2.63111111113A. Lapa1.44913671LAug 30 · 17:35A. Lapa3.25811371V. Shevchuk1.3311611113LAug 30 · 16:35A. Lapa2.631191161O. Ivchenko1.4413115113LAug 30 · 15:05A. Lapa2.6381060A. Gorchakova1.441112113
A. Volgina10
LSep 19 · 13:35A. Volgina1.834990O. Ivchenko1.831111113LSep 12 · 19:05A. Volgina1.8011881292V. Shevchuk1.918111110113WSep 12 · 17:05A. Gorchakova3.0081411141A. Volgina1.3611167163WSep 12 · 16:05A. Volgina1.8311811113M. Gordeets1.83811741WSep 12 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25119131082A. Volgina1.33811111293LSep 12 · 13:35A. Volgina1.91143791O. Ivchenko1.80121111113LSep 10 · 19:35A. Volgina1.67115961V. Shevchuk2.1051111113WSep 10 · 17:35Y. Severina2.751169111A. Volgina1.4091111133LSep 10 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75169411133A. Volgina1.401411115112WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.