TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13155465
Played Sep 19Finished
Anastasiia Volgina
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911911––––
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnastasiia Volgina above · Oleksandra Ivchenko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Volgina 71–82 Oleksandra Ivchenko Anastasiia Volgina has won 71 of their 153 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Ivchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
71-82 in 153
Ivchenko
Correct
gap of 11 in 153, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volgina 1622 vs Ivchenko 1565
Volgina
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volgina 60% vs Ivchenko 40%
Volgina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volgina 50% vs Ivchenko 20%
Volgina
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volgina -1 · Ivchenko -3
Ivchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volgina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolgina 1.83 / Ivchenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Volgina)+4.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13155465
Volgina1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 12) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Ivchenko1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 12) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolgina4wins
AwayIvchenko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderIvchenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolgina50%2 of 4
AwayIvchenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volgina4Ivchenko6n = 10Ivchenko took 6 of 10
S2Volgina5Ivchenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Volgina4Ivchenko6n = 10Ivchenko took 6 of 10
S4Volgina3Ivchenko4n = 7Ivchenko took 4 of 7
S5Volgina1Ivchenko2n = 3Ivchenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolginaIvchenkoV − IBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.840.4−2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolginaIvchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime360 / 639 vs 347 / 56656.3%61.3%360 / 639 vs 347 / 566Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaVolgina 1.83/Ivchenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ivchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 12 · 13:35A. Volgina33143791O. Ivchenko45121111113
LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina50118111192O. Ivchenko52131189113
WAug 30 · 18:05A. Volgina4011126113O. Ivchenko348101151
WAug 29 · 19:35A. Volgina341112113O. Ivchenko2491050
WAug 23 · 18:05A. Volgina48711118113O. Ivchenko4811991182
LAug 22 · 13:35A. Volgina2779110O. Ivchenko351111133
LAug 16 · 19:35A. Volgina2367100O. Ivchenko341111123
LAug 7 · 18:05A. Volgina45111165122O. Ivchenko51961111143
LAug 1 · 19:05A. Volgina408119121O. Ivchenko4111511143
A. Volgina10
WSep 19 · 15:05A. Lapa2.509750A. Volgina1.501111113LSep 12 · 19:05A. Volgina1.8011881292V. Shevchuk1.918111110113WSep 12 · 17:05A. Gorchakova3.0081411141A. Volgina1.3611167163WSep 12 · 16:05A. Volgina1.8311811113M. Gordeets1.83811741WSep 12 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25119131082A. Volgina1.33811111293LSep 12 · 13:35A. Volgina1.91143791O. Ivchenko1.80121111113LSep 10 · 19:35A. Volgina1.67115961V. Shevchuk2.1051111113WSep 10 · 17:35Y. Severina2.751169111A. Volgina1.4091111133LSep 10 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75169411133A. Volgina1.401411115112WSep 10 · 14:35A. Volgina1.801311113M. Gordeets1.9111690
O. Ivchenko10
LSep 19 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.4081111113O. Ivchenko2.75119461WSep 19 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.831111123V. Shevchuk1.8378100LSep 12 · 19:35O. Ivchenko1.83910111142M. Gordeets1.83111274113WSep 12 · 17:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.00981461O. Ivchenko1.3611111262LSep 12 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75113119123O. Ivchenko1.40811511102LSep 12 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.8091181172V. Shevchuk1.9111611783WSep 12 · 13:35A. Volgina1.91143791O. Ivchenko1.80121111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113LSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581
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