TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13155470
Played Sep 19Finished
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171181210––––
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandra Ivchenko above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 59 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandra Ivchenko 23–19 Viktoria Shevchuk Viktoria Shevchuk has won 19 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Shevchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-19 in 42
Ivchenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivchenko 1615 vs Shevchuk 1656
Shevchuk
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivchenko 40% vs Shevchuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivchenko 30% vs Shevchuk 70%
Shevchuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivchenko +1 · Shevchuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shevchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shevchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvchenko 1.83 / Shevchuk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Shevchuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13155470
Ivchenko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Shevchuk1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvchenko4wins
AwayShevchuk6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvchenko60%3 of 5
AwayShevchuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivchenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Ivchenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Ivchenko4Shevchuk6n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S4Ivchenko5Shevchuk4n = 9Ivchenko took 5 of 9
S5Ivchenko2Shevchuk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvchenkoShevchukI − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.142.10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvchenkoShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 545 vs 163 / 28360.7%57.6%331 / 545 vs 163 / 283Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukIvchenko 1.83/Shevchuk 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ivchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko36136891V. Shevchuk44111111113
LSep 5 · 17:35O. Ivchenko29491151V. Shevchuk4111118113
WAug 23 · 16:05O. Ivchenko3851111113V. Shevchuk28116741
LAug 22 · 16:05O. Ivchenko491111111152V. Shevchuk48131383113
WAug 15 · 16:05O. Ivchenko53111611153V. Shevchuk4661413131
WAug 7 · 14:35O. Ivchenko48111149133V. Shevchuk47771111112
LAug 1 · 13:35O. Ivchenko42112111082V. Shevchuk47711612113
WJul 25 · 14:35O. Ivchenko42114511113V. Shevchuk3651111272
O. Ivchenko10
LSep 19 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.4081111113O. Ivchenko2.75119461WSep 19 · 13:35A. Volgina1.834990O. Ivchenko1.831111113LSep 12 · 19:35O. Ivchenko1.83910111142M. Gordeets1.83111274113WSep 12 · 17:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.00981461O. Ivchenko1.3611111262LSep 12 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75113119123O. Ivchenko1.40811511102LSep 12 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.8091181172V. Shevchuk1.9111611783WSep 12 · 13:35A. Volgina1.91143791O. Ivchenko1.80121111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113LSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581
V. Shevchuk10
LSep 19 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.611111113V. Shevchuk2.2075100WSep 12 · 19:05A. Volgina1.8011881292V. Shevchuk1.918111110113LSep 12 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.73117811113V. Shevchuk2.0041111882LSep 12 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko6.0012148113V. Shevchuk1.1110121191WSep 12 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.8091181172V. Shevchuk1.9111611783WSep 12 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.75131511852V. Shevchuk1.251117511113WSep 10 · 19:35A. Volgina1.67115961V. Shevchuk2.1051111113WSep 10 · 18:05V. Shevchuk2.001011118123M. Gordeets1.73129911102WSep 10 · 16:05K. Bondarenko1.50124691V. Shevchuk2.50101111113WSep 10 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.75971161V. Shevchuk1.2511117113
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